which square would you choose?

eight deck s17daslsr 78%pen
edit.. play all.. end edit
you have a $300 trip bankroll.
one unit = $5.00
you want to maximize your gain with acceptable risk to you.
which square would you choose?

1. A flat betting 1 unit play just 1 hand
2. B flat betting 1 unit play just 10 hands
3. C flat betting 1 unit play just 100 hands
4. D flat betting 1 unit play just 1000 hands
5. 5A flat betting 5 units play just 1 hand
6. 5B flat betting 5 units play just 10 hands
7. 5C flat betting 5 units play just 100 hands
8. 5D flat betting 5 units play just 1000 hands
9. makes no differance

please state why your choice in your response.

Well this is certainly cruel, it's a -EV game! I wouldn't drive to the casino for this. But since we're apparently already at the casino...

I WANNA GO HOME!

Whadaya mean I HAVE to play?

All right, I'm willing to gamble, but not much. I'll take square B. I might get lucky and win enough to make this worthwhile.

Since I love to gamble short term I pick 5c.

Ill take square 5 for 2,000 Alex

gamble

I would have to take the 5c route also even though I doubt under normal play I would last 100 rounds. It would be a real gamble to make a profit flat betting but with the surrender I may be able to make a 100 rounds. The math is the math and that is a hail mary bankroll so you would need a prayer to last. blackchipjim

jack said:

Ill take square 5 for 2,000 Alex

Click to expand...

ok square 5 but which square 5?..... 5A, 5B, 5C or 5D?
i guess 5D where you might get the two grand?

After thinking about it some more...

If I'm allowed to wong in and out with impunity, I'd take square D.

my gamble

i went with C .
a zero percent ROR with a 30.62% probability of making the $57 one std dev, a 4.38% probability of making the $113 two std dev and a 0.25% probability of making $170 three std dev's.
of course being a gambler i a'int worrying bout the neg std dev's.
so but i like the idea of maybe comming out 11 units ahead and not likely to lose the whole bankroll. maybe likely to lose just over half the bankroll 0.25% of the time or maybe lose 38% of the roll about 4.38% of the time. maybe lose 19% of the roll about 34% of the time.

options D, 5B & 5C have their charms. thing is D has a ROR of about 10.73% and can make you about 3 times as much as option C but at the same percentages as C and takes ten times longer. 5B can maybe get you a little more than C with only a 0.08% ROR and can get those higher amounts at about the same percentages that C might. those are the numbers but still i simply can't believe that 5B would perform almost the same as C even a little better. i mean only 10 hands. so i wrote it off. then 5C has a ROR of almost 30% albeit a nice potential return if lucky. just didn't like that higher trip ROR.
the rest of the options seemed just silly to me. 5D had a 74% ROR.

Canceler said:

If I'm allowed to wong in and out with impunity, I'd take square D.

Click to expand...

my bad! i should have stipulated play all.
but you got a good point on the wong tact.

Actually, I would play 2 hands at a time $50 each (10 units) until I went broke or doubled up. Naturally, at +3 or more :grin: