Mr_Bill said:
I've read some conflicting opinions on the matter and it SEEMS that the simpler Level 1 systems are not as effective. Or is it just that the rate of return is not that high?
That is true. The simpler Level 1 systems are usually slightly less accurate than the advanced Level 2 systems. However, in this case the math does not tell the whole story. Using a simpler system may be more of a benefit for several reasons:
1) A simpler system will be easier to learn. Any system you choose will require a lot of practice, but a simple system may have you ready for casino play sooner. Since Time = Money, a simpler system may have you earning money sooner.
2) A simpler system is easier to use so you will make less mistakes. A more advanced system is only more accurate if you are using it accurately. Otherwise it might even be worse!
3) A simpler system is less mentally draining than a difficult system. Using a simpler system may allow you to play for longer periods without taking a break to recoup. More time at the tables translates to more money in your pocket!
4) A simpler system may allow you to play faster. The math will be easier so you may spend less time thinking and more time playing. If you play 110 hands per hour instead of 100 then you have increased your hourly EV by 10%. That may be a better win rate than 100 hands of a more advanced system.
5) A simpler system will leave your brain available for using other techniques. Instead of using your entire brain for counting you might be able to count and sequence an ace or two per shoe. That will give you a huge advantage over a regular card counter no matter what system they are using.
Computer simulations do not take these factors into account when they compare systems.
Mr_Bill said:
I'm an absolute beginner and I think I will start with KO and then maybe work my way up to Hi Opt II.
That sounds like a good plan. KO is a very simple yet effective system which is great for beginners. By the time you are ready to “upgrade” to another system (not that you have to, KO is fine) you will have a better idea of what system will work best for you.
As a side note, I have been using Hi-Opt II for almost 7 years now and I don’t recommend it. As AutoMonkey mentioned it can be very tricky to use and is impractical for shoe games (in my opinion). Once I switch to playing shoe games I will definitely switch to another system. In the meantime I’m just too lazy…or stubborn, I’m not sure which.
-Sonny-