Ace Prediction/Shuffle Tracking

Garo

Well-Known Member
Gentlemen-
Uncle Sam has seen to it that I cannot have a sufficeint BR to make card counting worth my time with a reasonable risk of ruin. I have two options, I can either give up or improve my edge. With that in mind, can you all give me a ballpark figure of my advantage using ace prediction and shuffle tracking? Thank you for your help.
 

Sun runner

Well-Known Member
Some help, maybe

Garo -

Small BR? Go to BJ21.COM, 2/21/05, bigplayer's post on how to build a BR. Read MathProf's post that follows. I thought they were both well done posts.

Prediciting Aces? The real skinny on that endeavour is hard to come by for the regular folk.

ST'ing? The real skinny on that endeavour is hard to come by for the regular folk, but it's out there; you'll just have to dig it out.

Paying to much in income tax? Get a better tax guy. :)
 
Dirty Old Uncle Sam putting his hand down your Underoos

Yeah, he got me too. Not just taxes, but maxing out my tax exempt accounts, so it's not so painful. I'll be out of action for about a month to get my BR back to a point where I can safely play. You might want to consider backcounting, you can do that if you can afford a big bet equal to the table min.
 

Garo

Well-Known Member
that advice is spot on!

Thanks for your help, that advise was exactly what I needed, I recommend all the poor young guys read that post. The problem with back counting is I play in back-country IJs so the tables are usually either entirely full or entirely empty. I just have to grab a sack and go for it, and understand that I might lose. Thank you Uncle Sam, thank you for taking this poor young Airman's money. And thank you old wise men for lifting my spirits.
 

Sun runner

Well-Known Member
Back Country IJs?

By 'IJ' do you mean Indian Joints? (No disrespect intended to the Native Americans.)

If so, are you having to pay a rake (a fee .. 25 cents to a dollar) each time you make a bet? I'm hoping not because the really bad news is you (in almost every case) can not beat that game long term ESPECIALLY if the games are that crowded.

The sick part of that is I've been in those places where they actually had a waiting list longer than Outback's to get a seat. And still, they hit soft 17, and still, they cut off 25% or use a continous shuffler.

And still .. they have people on a waiting list.

So sad it makes you laugh even still.
 
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