Aguilar response

QFIT

Well-Known Member
Ahh, ZG ever the trouble-maker:) I see you’ve reposted a post of mine on BJFO. As you may know I am not allowed to respond there. I will make a few brief comments here.

1. There have been a couple of posts saying that I don’t like side counts. While I personally don’t use side counts these days, I certainly have nothing against them. Aguilar also claims I can’t support a simple Ace side count. In fact, I support five different types of side counts (see http://www.qfit.com/blackjack-side-counts.htm ). However, Aguilar has continued to misrepresent Aguilar II as a simple Ace side count, when it is in fact three balanced counts plus an additional unbalanced suit-aware count for shoes.

2. Aguilar claims that Aguilar II is a single level count and easier than Hi-Opt II, a two level count. In fact, Aguilar II is a three level count. Sevens are counted as +1 in the primary count and +2 in count #4. You then add the two counts together. (Or subtract in some cases.) Counting the 7 as +1 in one count and +2 in another count and adding them together and then claiming this is somehow a level 1 count is clearly misrepresenting the ease of the strategy. In fact it is vastly more difficult than level II as there is no cancellation.

3. In response to my statement that his basic strategy contains errors, he responds that I am a liar and that “it is identical in every respect with the basic strategy in the appendix of his (Don’s) Blackjack Attack with these exceptions:” He then goes on to list how it is nowhere near "identical in every respect" proving my point.:)

4. He says that he does not recommend Splitting twos and threes for beginners for reasons of ease and risk. But again he is misrepresenting his systems. His explanation uses the words “beginners” and “recreational players” repeatedly. But, Aguilar II also has no Splits for twos and threes. Surely Aguilar II is not for recreational players.

5. Having misrepresented the ease of his strategies, he is now asking you and T-Hopper to pay him $50 to see the strategy. Words fail me on that one.

6. He is now suggesting that 6:5 BJ may be beaten with flat-betting. Now that I’ll pay to watch.

7. After all this, he admits he doesn't actually keep the counts from hand to hand himself.

I would have found this entire episode amusing. But there are very few people that are willing to honestly evaluate a strategy for free. There is now one fewer. (I never charge for advice.) Twice now I have evaluated a strategy and then been attacked as a fraud with dishonest motives merely for stating my opinion. As I post under my real name, have a real career and such accusations last on the web forever; I’ll not provide this service again. Don has also refused to evaluate AGII after seeing the actions resulting from my review. I patiently tried to explain the problems in these strategies via private e-mail. I have always supported new efforts at improving our understanding of the game. In the case of OPP, I even gave the author all of my software (including four CDs and four manuals) for free to aid him in his studies. It’s a shame that some people react to feedback in such a manner.
 

QFIT

Well-Known Member
shadroch said:
Sorry if I stirred up a hornets nest.Is QFIT really your real name?
:) Actually, QFIT is my real, legal, publically registered alias (DBA) and I do have a checking account under that name. Aguilar's statements that I am a fraud and a charlatan use my real name.

Norman Wattenberger
 

QFIT

Well-Known Member
Funny:) I try, and many times fail, to keep a sense of humor about such things. I assume you understand the problem. What particularly amuses me is the fact that all these system sellers accuse me of being A "self-proclaimed" expert or "self-proclaimed" guru or "Wattasawmi" or any other set of names claiming that I call myself the expert in BJ. Fact is, I have never in my life claimed anything of the sort. I've made thousands of posts over the last 20 years (going back to ARPANet days) and I don't think I've made one single post claiming that I am a BJ expert. OK, maybe I've claimed something like that to an attractive dancer or barmaid at the Paradise:) But, never on a BJ forum. I do have some bit of experience and I do try to honestly answer questions based on my three decades of experience and the trillions of hands I've simmed and the people we've both known and the feedback from thousands of clients of my software. That doesn't make me right. Like anyone else, I have an opinion.
 
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