betting strategy

[KOLAN]

how many hands i need to play to check beting strategy working or not?

 

[tribute]

how many hands i need to play to check beting strategy working or not?

None. Just describe your strategy and someone on this board will let you know if it works or not.

 

[shadroch]

3.14 brazzilion, at a minimum.

 

[KOLAN]

None. Just describe your strategy and someone on this board will let you know if it works or not.

i dont see here tomany profesional bj players

 

[daddybo]

Lots of hands

Kolan,

Blackjack is a game with a large variance... The best answer would be as many as you reasonably can, assuming you are using a sim and computer.
The greater the bet size varies the larger the sample size you'll need.
If it were me, I wouldn't use a system in BJ without at least 1,000,000 trials. (unless of course you like to gamble)

I've heard of sims losing nearly 10,000 hands in a row with a proven counting/betting system. While that's extreme and very rare, it helps you see how many trials you need to run in the event something like that happens.

Hope that helps.

db

 

[tribute]

Just wondering

An experienced card counter hits the tables over a weekend. Does all the right things, raises and lowers bets according to true count, plays all indicies perfectly. The final result is a nice 50 unit win. Is this the result of his flawless expertise as a pro? How does he really know? I thought it takes thousands of hands to prove a system is effective. The win could be attributed to variance or just the way the cards played out.

 

[tfg]

My answer would be this. If you play the basic strategy, you would expect around 43% wins, 48% losses and 9% pushes. So I would say it would be at least as many as it takes to get to those percentages, probably a couple thousand.

 

[tfg]

An experienced card counter hits the tables over a weekend. Does all the right things, raises and lowers bets according to true count, plays all indicies perfectly. The final result is a nice 50 unit win. Is this the result of his flawless expertise as a pro? How does he really know? I thought it takes thousands of hands to prove a system is effective. The win could be attributed to variance or just the way the cards played out.

I would say that the counter will have that same situation you described above, only come away with some amount of units lost from time to time. The only thing is that the counter will probably have more times coming out ahead.

 

[johndoe]

An experienced card counter hits the tables over a weekend. Does all the right things, raises and lowers bets according to true count, plays all indicies perfectly. The final result is a nice 50 unit win. Is this the result of his flawless expertise as a pro? How does he really know? I thought it takes thousands of hands to prove a system is effective. The win could be attributed to variance or just the way the cards played out.

The result of his perfect play is that this scenario is more likely, but no, this one session alone is definitely not enough to know if he's doing everything correctly.

There are plenty of people making ridiculous plays that win much more than this.

 

[KOLAN]

An experienced card counter hits the tables over a weekend. Does all the right things, raises and lowers bets according to true count, plays all indicies perfectly. The final result is a nice 50 unit win. Is this the result of his flawless expertise as a pro? How does he really know? I thought it takes thousands of hands to prove a system is effective. The win could be attributed to variance or just the way the cards played out.

counter hu play standart spreeds results looks laik this
+44
+40
+46
+35
-116
+80
-20
+40
+4
+129
-2
+72
+80
-6
-55
-114
+30
+80
-40
-35
+35
-8
-16
.................
i not hapu more to play laik this

 

[FLASH1296]

A few million hands, simulated, would be thoroughly inadequate to the task.