Blackjack riddle

Thunder

Well-Known Member
On my most recent trip, I encountered a situation I have yet to of experienced. It called for me to stand on a 9 vs a dealer 4. Can anyone guess what it was that caused me to do this.
 

Guynoire

Well-Known Member
You were at a tournament going into the last hand with the lead. 2nd place bet as much as you and stupidly stood on his stiff vs a dealer 4. Standing gave you the automatic win.

Anything close?
 

kewljason

Well-Known Member
Thunder said:
On my most recent trip, I encountered a situation I have yet to of experienced. It called for me to stand on a 9 vs a dealer 4. Can anyone guess what it was that caused me to do this.
Dealer dealt to last card, there were two cards left and you knew they were both 10 value.
 

blikous

Member
Something happened when the next card was played/revealed then withdrawn (and not burnt).

Like the dealer dealt a card to someone who stood and it had to be reversed. It is in your favour if the dealer gets that card instead of you
 

Thunder

Well-Known Member
ding ding ding we have a winner. Congrats bilkous on getting the correct answer. Basically the player had indicated he wanted to stand. The dealer dealt him a 5 by mistake. I was about to double down but they opted not to burn the card. I noticed the player next to me who was at 3rd base had 13 and knew the 5 wasn't going to help me but would greatly help him so I stood. Worked out beautifully as the dealer bust.
 
Thunder said:
ding ding ding we have a winner. Congrats bilkous on getting the correct answer. Basically the player had indicated he wanted to stand. The dealer dealt him a 5 by mistake. I was about to double down but they opted not to burn the card. I noticed the player next to me who was at 3rd base had 13 and knew the 5 wasn't going to help me but would greatly help him so I stood. Worked out beautifully as the dealer bust.
Good move, as long as you knew the player was going to take the card. I've seen ploppies in that situation so stupid that they stood.
 

daddybo

Well-Known Member
Automatic Monkey said:
Good move, as long as you knew the player was going to take the card. I've seen ploppies in that situation so stupid that they stood.
Out of curiosity.. without hindsight. Why was this the correct move for your hand? Hole card info? Next card info ?(after the five).

P.S. I'm not saying it's wrong.. just not sure that's what I would have done without further info.
 
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johndoe

Well-Known Member
daddybo said:
Out of curiosity.. without hindsight. Why was this the correct move for your hand? Hole card info? Next card info ?(after the five).

P.S. I'm not saying it's wrong.. just not sure that's what I would have done without further info.
Having a 9 or 14 is equivalent, as both require the dealer to bust. Giving the 5 to the next player at least improves his hand, and saves it from the dealer (which would be really bad). (Doubling might even be good for that last player)

I would have asked the next player before standing, though... "you PROMISE you're gonna hit if I stand, right??"
 
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daddybo

Well-Known Member
johndoe said:
Having a 9 or 14 is equivalent, as both require the dealer to bust. Giving the 5 to the next player at least improves his hand, and saves it from the dealer (which would be really bad). (Doubling might even be good for that last player)

I would have asked the next player before standing, though... "you PROMISE you're gonna hit if I stand, right??"
I think my question boils down to how did you know the dealer had 14 and not 11 or 10 or 9 etc. Would you have stood on the 9 if you Knew the dealer had 14 and didn't know the next card. It's always the right move when you win! I think I would have probably hit the 9 given the info. (unless the count was really high)... But it was nice of you to help the other player.
 
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Thunder

Well-Known Member
I didn't know that the dealer had 14 for sure but I knew that given that the TC was +1 it wasn't that unlikely that they did have that or a soft 15. Either way I knew that the 5 wasn't going to help me and I didn't want the dealer to have it. Given the amount of time spent going over the confusion with the pitboss and dealer, and being told incorrectly that I had to take the 5, I made it very clear to the third base player (knew bs pretty well) that I was going to not take the 5 and would give it to him. If it were me, I probably would have doubled but telling another player to double for an 18 total might be a hard sell so why bother. I already had the dealer pissed at me as it was so it may not have been beneficial for me to try pissing her off even more.
 

daddybo

Well-Known Member
Thunder said:
I didn't know that the dealer had 14 for sure but I knew that given that the TC was +1 it wasn't that unlikely that they did have that or a soft 15. Either way I knew that the 5 wasn't going to help me and I didn't want the dealer to have it. Given the amount of time spent going over the confusion with the pitboss and dealer, and being told incorrectly that I had to take the 5, I made it very clear to the third base player (knew bs pretty well) that I was going to not take the 5 and would give it to him. If it were me, I probably would have doubled but telling another player to double for an 18 total might be a hard sell so why bother. I already had the dealer pissed at me as it was so it may not have been beneficial for me to try pissing her off even more.
LOL, I can understand that... I had a dealer expose her hole card to the whole table. (20 total) The Boss comes over and says to let everyone play it. First base hits a 16 and busts. I have a 17 and take a card. Low and behold its a 4!. Not as complicated as yours (this one was a no-brainer) but still fun.

-db
 

johndoe

Well-Known Member
daddybo said:
I think my question boils down to how did you know the dealer had 14 and not 11 or 10 or 9 etc. Would you have stood on the 9 if you Knew the dealer had 14 and didn't know the next card. It's always the right move when you win! I think I would have probably hit the 9 given the info. (unless the count was really high)... But it was nice of you to help the other player.
It doesn't matter if the dealer had a 14 or not in this case.

If he stands, he gets a 9. If he hits, he gets a 14, then stands. Either way he ends up with a stiff, and relies on the dealer busting to win. At least this way the other guy improved his hand a little.

The only way there would be any difference at all is if the count were negative enough to hit a 14v4 (or other information were available).

As it was, he helped the other guy out, but I don't think there was any impact at all on his hand, or the dealer's, no matter what he did (hit or stand), as long as he didn't double.

(If you knew the dealer had a 14, and didn't know the next card, I'd double my nine for sure. But that's not his situation here.)
 
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sabre

Well-Known Member
Strictly speaking, the correct mathematical play is to take the 5, due to the small, but nonzero chance that the player to your left will wave off his hand, giving the 5 to the dealer should he need it. In practice, passing on the 5 is the right move ... but it couldn't hurt to ask the player "Do you want that 5?". They might actually respond "No, I never hit a stiff vs a dealer 4", in which case I'd shrug my shoulders and take the 5.
 
The most +EV play of all may have been to offer to sell the next player the 5 for a fraction of his bet. :eyepatch:

But building up good will with your tablemates is also profitable, set yourself up for some nice scavenger plays in the future. I suppose one could play an entire AP game based solely on social engineering, if one was good enough at that.
 

daddybo

Well-Known Member
Automatic Monkey said:
The most +EV play of all may have been to offer to sell the next player the 5 for a fraction of his bet. :eyepatch:

But building up good will with your tablemates is also profitable, set yourself up for some nice scavenger plays in the future. I suppose one could play an entire AP game based solely on social engineering, if one was good enough at that.
Now that's constructive analysis. :)
 

Thunder

Well-Known Member
Automatic Monkey said:
The most +EV play of all may have been to offer to sell the next player the 5 for a fraction of his bet. :eyepatch:

But building up good will with your tablemates is also profitable, set yourself up for some nice scavenger plays in the future. I suppose one could play an entire AP game based solely on social engineering, if one was good enough at that.
Trying to sell it to my neighbor would have built up a lot of BAD will since everyone knew that me hitting or doubling my nine to get 14 was pointless. Setting up good will and establish a good rapport with your tablemates can reap huge dividends in the future. I had a guy on the same trip who was willing to let me put in some money infor a double when he had 11. Just that one play gave me my ev per hour.
 
Thunder said:
Trying to sell it to my neighbor would have built up a lot of BAD will since everyone knew that me hitting or doubling my nine to get 14 was pointless. Setting up good will and establish a good rapport with your tablemates can reap huge dividends in the future. I had a guy on the same trip who was willing to let me put in some money infor a double when he had 11. Just that one play gave me my ev per hour.
Here's one for you- I had a max bet down, hand was A7 vs. 7, dealer flashes a 2. I pay my right-hand neighbor $100 to not take a hit. Of course I double.

And of course the dealer catches a 21.
 

EmeraldCityBJ

Well-Known Member
Automatic Monkey said:
The most +EV play of all may have been to offer to sell the next player the 5 for a fraction of his bet. :eyepatch:

But building up good will with your tablemates is also profitable, set yourself up for some nice scavenger plays in the future. I suppose one could play an entire AP game based solely on social engineering, if one was good enough at that.
This depends on the situation.

If the casino is somewhat busy, or if you're playing somewhere where scavenger plays are generally permitted, there is a lot of merit to this approach.

However, if you're playing at a casino that has a strict "No Side Bets between players" rule (as is the case with most of the places I play), there's little point in establishing the good will you describe. Another approach would be to take the card in an effort to irritate the ploppy, in hopes that they'll leave your table. If the casino isn't too busy and some other ploppy doesn't fill the empty spots, you'll have the benefit of a faster game.
 
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