Can someone please verify results for dealer probabilities?

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dacium

Well-Known Member
Ignoring players cards, 6 deck, dealer to stand on any 17 do these appear to be correct for dealer:

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BJ: 4.748948800396E-002 (4.75%)
21: 7.287408707138E-002 (7.29%)
20: 1.795273038237E-001 (17.95%)
19: 1.336847392869E-001 (13.37%)
18: 1.392577712672E-001 (13.93%)
17: 1.452452688763E-001 (14.52%)
BUST: 2.819213416707E-001 (28.19%)
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Total: 1.000000000000E+000 (100.00%)
===================================
===================================
Draw to 02 cards: 3.489982686124E-001 (34.90%)
Draw to 03 cards: 4.399910638060E-001 (44.00%)
Draw to 04 cards: 1.728150072285E-001 (17.28%)
Draw to 05 cards: 3.397227752736E-002 (3.40%)
Draw to 06 cards: 3.923790808806E-003 (0.39%)
Draw to 07 cards: 2.858187129712E-004 (0.03%)
Draw to 08 cards: 1.337747362422E-005 (0.00%)
Draw to 09 cards: 3.894544883024E-007 (0.00%)
Draw to 10 cards: 6.329263940300E-009 (0.00%)
Draw to 11 cards: 4.646248120918E-011 (0.00%)
Draw to 12 cards: 7.485828799977E-014 (0.00%)
TOTAL 1.000000000000E+000 (100.00%)

I tried searching for the info but couldnt seem to find anything the same.

This is from my new EV program I am writing. Its almost finished but want to verify basic card rotation is correct.

Doing EV probabilities instead of simulation is way better, you get exact answer in just a fraction of a second! yay.
 
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dacium

Well-Known Member
Also for interest sake TT is most common hand (obviously) and least common I think was AAAAAA6AAAAA, now that is a hand!
 
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dacium

Well-Known Member
Thanks, Ill be able to put the dealer with each face card and get the numbers to match that table.
 
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dacium

Well-Known Member
Hmm there seems to be something werid or wrong with those tables?? For example if you add up all the outcomes percentages when the dealer is showing an ace, you always get over 100%, it seems blackjack is counted seperately, but adds onto the 100% rather than being part of it.

For example 6deck stand on all 17's shows BJ when ace 30.87%, and if you add all the outcomes (17-21+bust+BJ) = 130.87%.
 
KenSmith

KenSmith

Administrator
Staff member
Umm, read the message just above yours, which is where I said just that.

For most purposes, you want to know the percentages after the dealer has checked for blackjack and doesn't have it. That's why the tables were intentionally created that way.
 
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dacium

Well-Known Member
Yeah sorry I can see it in view source, I think something is wrong with my browser because I cant see text after links.
 
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