charts
6 deck shoes (run by hand)
(Dead link: http://www.mediafire.com/?dmytgmd1ogg)
(Dead link: http://www.mediafire.com/?uip0n6we1xa)
(Dead link: http://www.mediafire.com/?ge9tdw9pxew)
$100 buy in conclusion
$100 buy in test run conclusion
War is a game of coin flips When there is no tie there is a definite 50% chance of either the dealer or the player winning but as soon as there is a tie the casino edge kicks in. Even though wars seem very profitable at first (especially with the 5x tie odds) war is simply a bad deal with 2.88% against you, this is why you must surrender anything over a five dollar bet (assuming your up). After the eleven tested runs (2 decks $100 buy in) I lost only one time due to a very unlucky streak but with a larger bankroll I surely would have won. Tables 1,4 and 11 show you can have a loosing record or even tie and still make large sums of money. These large sums of money are made on those loosing streaks. After 312 flips I have only lost 5 times in a row once these odds seem very good seeing that only the 5 streak is what will break you. Not once did a streak of six turn up so assuming you buy in for 155+ (allowing the 80 bet) it will be extremely hard to bust and would not have lost in any of these test runs.
As far as stats go you should make $50 in about 17.8 hands, yes there is no eighth of a hand but you understand averages. After the 312 flips I was above my initial buy in for 94% of the time and there were only 14 wars. After all this session I have $1910 on the table $810 of it being profit. This profit margin would have been much larger but in some tables I elected to stop at 50 in some I simply ran out of cards and left it at that and at others I simply got lazy.
....it is stupid... voodoo... and was a waste of my time.....
anyway continued.....
something we made up called the comparitive 50 rule
Simple war strategy
As you can see in these 4 new charts (6 deck charts) wars happen much more than in the initial tests with 2 decks. We all know by now that wars are the houses edge and since there’s many more of these predicaments logically we must compensate for them with a new strategy.
Say you take a $5 war and lets also assume that you lose, losing that war has just lost you ten dollars to compensate for that you must bet $15 here’s a chart to show why.
Ex. 1
Good Bad
Bet W L STACK BET W L STACK
~~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~~~ ~~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~~~
5 X 130 5 X 130
5 WAR X 120 5 war X 120
15 X 135 10 X 130
As you can see if you only double your $5 bet you will only break even with your initial bet. If you loose the $15 bet you still double the bet until you win If you were to only break even the entire strategy would be short and will significantly short your earnings over your session.
The comparative 50 rule
Skim back to charts 17 and 18. What happened at chart 18 to make us break here? Its simple math if something is 50-50 it will always even out, so why does this matter? This matters because if we win 5 in a row statistics say it must even out, that means soon enough the dealer will win his 5. By this point we know that 5 losses in a row will break us and consume all our chips. The fix to this problem its quite simple, after you have a large winning streak such as the 5 or even 10 (chart 14) leave after you lose two in a row. Were assuming that those 2 losses in a row are a sure warning that the dealer is about to even out and hitting 5 or 10 in a row will without a doubt steal all we have earned.
Ex. 2 Left side continued
BET W L STACK 10 X 125
~ ~ ~ ~ 20 X 145
5 X 105 5 X 140
5 X 110 10 X 130
5 X 115 20 X 110
5 X 120 40 X 70
5 X 115 70 X BROKE
As you can see the right thing to do was leave after the underlined hand if you were to leave then you would have still made your $30.
***if your strategy has any thinking like this please do not pm it to me it relies on the gamblers fallacy and is extremley dumb... but to a new gambler seems genious... its not****
we also created a program to run siulations millions of times
here is a chart we made after going through the first 50 results.. suprisingly we were up $2407
(Dead link: http://www.mediafire.com/?dx01ijz4mn8)
we then ran coin flips to further prove our point since war is 50-50... lol
(Dead link: http://www.mediafire.com/?m1x11b9rddt)
and here was our conclusion from that...
To prove the concept of what’s going on the previous table was not of playing cards it was simply a quarter being flipped 50 times, and yes this relates to the simple game of casino war. This chart does not appear any different because it should always even out just like the cards at the war table. Yes, when we doubled up we had won more than we lost but, after I finished out the 50 flips it was almost dead even. It got to the point where I could call heads and tales correctly about 80% of the time after the double up, this same theory will work at the war table. You may know what is about to hit but do not up your bet because that will destroy the entire strategy and will throw your betting pattern off. This simple chart (along with chart 11) proves that as long as you stick to the plan, lose the small $5 bets and win the bigger ones you will always come out on top.
$100 buy in test run conclusion
As stated before war is a game of coin flips. When there is no tie there is a definite 50% chance of either the dealer or the player winning but as soon as there is a tie the casino edge kicks in. Even though wars seem very profitable at first (especially with the 5x tie odds) war is simply a bad deal with 2.88% against you, this is why you must surrender anything over a five dollar bet (assuming your up). After the eleven tested runs (2 decks $100 buy in) I lost only one time due to a very unlucky streak but with a larger bankroll I surely would have won. Tables 1,4 and 11 show you can have a loosing record or even tie and still make large sums of money. These large sums of money are made on losses. In a later study you will discover why you want to lose a few every once in a while.
Stats
After 312 flips I have only lost 5 times in a row once these odds seem very good seeing that only the 5 streak is what will break you. Not once did a streak of six turn up so assuming you buy in for 155+ (allowing the 80 bet) it will be extremely hard to bust and would not have lost in any of these test runs. If you truly feel like gambling after you make that first $100 you can keep it all on the table and bet $ after every win. If all goes well you will end up making $300 in two vary short sessions.
As far as averages go you should make $50 in about 17.8 hands, yes there is no eighth of a hand but you understand averages. After the 312 flips I was above my initial buy in for 94% of the time and there were only 14 wars. After all this session I have $1910 on the table $810 of it being profit. This profit margin would have been much larger but in some tables I elected to stop at 50 in some I ran out of cards and left it at that and at others I simply got lazy.
*we also made many other programs and many semed to be profitable... but that is only short term...
the sad part of all this is that we turned this into a book... looked professionally done and to an untrained gambler seemed like a sure win... we sold tons of them and made a ton off of them at school... i wish i had all of them back so i could burn it because my name is on the cover... urg
