Did I do the right thing?

Blue Efficacy

Well-Known Member
First hand of shoe. Ploppy at first base notices the dealer didn't burn a card. I got A,9 dealer showed A. PC asks if i want to pull bet back, she asks me if I am sure a couple times.. Dealer did not yet check for BJ.

Did I do the right thing by playing the hand?

BTW the dealer also had soft 20.
 

Canceler

Well-Known Member
Blue Efficacy said:
Did I do the right thing by playing the hand?
Oh %&$#, the EV tables at bjmath are gone. :(

Anyway, the EV for A,9 vs. A is about +.60, so yes, it was correct to play.

EDIT:

Not so fast there, Canceler! The +.60 assumes the dealer does not have BJ. I expect it would be still +EV before the dealer checks, but I don't know by how much. The question becomes more interesting now.
 
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Guynoire

Well-Known Member
Canceler said:
Not so fast there, Canceler! The +.60 assumes the dealer does not have BJ. I expect it would be still +EV before the dealer checks, but I don't know by how much. The question becomes more interesting now.
That's pretty easy to calculate 4/13 of the time will result in a loss versus 9/13 of the time will result in a +.60 advantage

= 4/13*(-1) +.6*9/13= .11

So yes there is a significant advantage
 
Blue

Blue Efficacy said:
First hand of shoe. Ploppy at first base notices the dealer didn't burn a card. I got A,9 dealer showed A. PC asks if i want to pull bet back, she asks me if I am sure a couple times.. Dealer did not yet check for BJ.

Did I do the right thing by playing the hand?

BTW the dealer also had soft 20.
Right move:cool: Just what I would expect from you.

CP
 

Blue Efficacy

Well-Known Member
creeping panther said:
Right move:cool: Just what I would expect from you.

CP
Thanks for the compliment, I figured a true BJ warrior wouldn't throw a 20 into the muck so easily. I was playing a mighty fine 6 deck game, and if you're not going to let a 20 play, why even bother I thought.
 

ihate17

Well-Known Member
You did the right thing, now let us expand this kind of situation

Had an instance near the end of a shoe (high count) where a new dealer came in, did not burn a card (house procedure), got an ace while I had 20 and the pit gave me the same choice.

I tell the pit that I will play if the dealer does not have blackjack and at first the pit disagrees. I then go into the whole Sacred Flow senerio, combined with the cards obviously being out of order, and furthermore only being out of order because the casino made a mistake, so why punish me for the casino's mistake.
The pit bought it but the dealer had a blackjack, so everyone bowed out of the hand.

This was a max bet situation where I would have bought insurance anyway, so I figure I got my insurance for free. Not so sure I would have made myself that visable to the pit if it had been a minimum bet situation.

ihate17
 

Blue Efficacy

Well-Known Member
I'm afraid I did make myself visible to the pit in that minimum bet scenario. The PC seemed to think I was quite stupid for staying in against the mighty Ace, even with 20.
 

Cardcounter

Well-Known Member
With 20 always play out the hand! Especially in that situation where there was an error on the hand and the pit boss might instruct the dealer to push you if he does beat you which happens 25% of the time in a weird situation like that. Even if it doesn't happen the dealer has only a 30% chance of having a blackjack so you are huge favorite anyway.
 

Kasi

Well-Known Member
Blue Efficacy said:
I'm afraid I did make myself visible to the pit in that minimum bet scenario. The PC seemed to think I was quite stupid for staying in against the mighty Ace, even with 20.
Rest easy.

Either he's the quite stupid one or he's quite the smart one trying to get you to make the wrong play lol.

Ask him for a private table where dealer has Ace up and you have A,9 on the first hand and just play out the shoes keeping those cards since you're so stupid. Bet more than the minimum too lol.
 

Kasi

Well-Known Member
FLASH1296;122384With 19 or 20 you are a favorite to win against any dealer's "up card.[/QUOTE said:
If you are ever in Blue's situation and are dealt a 10,9 vs dealer Ace and are given the opportunity to remove your bet before the dealer checks for BJ, thank the PB for your get-out-of-jail-free card and take your bet back.

Chances are it's -EV before he checks for BJ but +EV after he has checked.
 

Blue Efficacy

Well-Known Member
Kasi said:
Rest easy.

Either he's the quite stupid one or he's quite the smart one trying to get you to make the wrong play lol.

Ask him for a private table where dealer has Ace up and you have A,9 on the first hand and just play out the shoes keeping those cards since you're so stupid. Bet more than the minimum too lol.
Actually it was a "she" pit critter.

Didn't seem very smart either.
 

Blue Efficacy

Well-Known Member
Guynoire said:
That's pretty easy to calculate 4/13 of the time will result in a loss versus 9/13 of the time will result in a +.60 advantage

= 4/13*(-1) +.6*9/13= .11

So yes there is a significant advantage
But 1/13 of the time will be a push. 2/13 of the time will be automatic win (H17). 6/13 of the time the dealer has a chance to outdraw me.
 
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