Expected win rate?
- Thread starter bp21
- Start date
Sonny
Well-Known Member
VERY low
> Assuming 6-dk, .75 pen, s17, das, ls, spreading 15-90, 60 hands/hr, no play
> in neg counts -- what is my long term expected hrly win rate, keeping ruin
> risk 10-15%?
Here's a quick and dirty answer. It won't be completely accurate but it will give you an idea what to expect:
If you are only playing positive counts at a game where the players are playing about 60 hands per hour you can expect to play about 60*.25=15 hands. With an average bet of around $40 you can expect about $40*15=$600 worth of action every hour. Assuming a 1% win rate you can expect to win about $6 per hour.
If you can find a game where they play 100 hands per hour (or walk away from extremely negative counts to check other tables) you may be able to play about 25 hands per hour and earn $10 per hour.
I'm sure someone will give you some more accurate answers than this, but hopefully this will give you a ballpark idea.
-Sonny-
> Assuming 6-dk, .75 pen, s17, das, ls, spreading 15-90, 60 hands/hr, no play
> in neg counts -- what is my long term expected hrly win rate, keeping ruin
> risk 10-15%?
Here's a quick and dirty answer. It won't be completely accurate but it will give you an idea what to expect:
If you are only playing positive counts at a game where the players are playing about 60 hands per hour you can expect to play about 60*.25=15 hands. With an average bet of around $40 you can expect about $40*15=$600 worth of action every hour. Assuming a 1% win rate you can expect to win about $6 per hour.
If you can find a game where they play 100 hands per hour (or walk away from extremely negative counts to check other tables) you may be able to play about 25 hands per hour and earn $10 per hour.
I'm sure someone will give you some more accurate answers than this, but hopefully this will give you a ballpark idea.
-Sonny-
Automatic Monkey
Banned
I get a similar number
If you just sit at the table and never bet when the count is negative (usually a risky practice), using a top-notch strategy, you'll have a win rate of about $10 per hour. A larger spread is needed.
If you just sit at the table and never bet when the count is negative (usually a risky practice), using a top-notch strategy, you'll have a win rate of about $10 per hour. A larger spread is needed.