Frank Scoblete

SPX

Well-Known Member
What's everyone's opinion here of Frank Scoblete? From what I've seen he seems to be genuinely knowledgeable and successful in regard to many gaming pursuits and--even though many refuse to believe it's possible--he's done a lot to develop and refine dice control with Chris Pawlicki.

On the other hand, I also know he helped develop and popularize the Speed Count, which many consider to be just about worthless--even though it has been simmed to show that, while it might not be Hi-Lo, it still turns the advantage to the player's side.
 
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ChefJJ

Well-Known Member
Judging by how much pub he gets, especially the number of those Travel Channel shows on gambling he has been on, I'd imagine his non-gaming career is much more lucrative than on-floor action.

Just a guess...don't know the man.

good luck
 

Renzey

Well-Known Member
SPX said:
What's everyone's opinion here of Frank Scoblete?
About a dozen years ago, I spoke at a few casino gaming seminars along with several other lecturing "authorities". There, I met Frank Scoblete. All the lecturers and most of their wives would have dinner together and get to know each other. Frank was an outgoing, dynamic personality, firmly grounded in the principles of advantage play at gambling games.

Although he was apparently a very sharp casino gambler, I believe Frank's first line of interest was to teach advantage play and make money doing that, rather than at gambling himself. I found him to be a prolific speaker and writer -- a natural at that craft.

Back then, he was a Hi/Lo blackjack player, and his seminars, although not exclusively on blackjack, always stuck to positive EV strategy. I never heard him push a game plan that was a mathematical loser.

When all the publicity about "dice control" broke onto the scene years later, I called Frank and asked him for the real "skinny", and whether it was for real.
He said, "Fred, believe me, you can alter the random probabilities of a dice throw enough to gain the upper hand. But it takes an enormous amount of practice -- akin to learning how to throw a major league curve ball."

As for the Speed Count, I personally think it's gotten a bad rap. It's clearly inferior to traditional full scale counts, but does produce a positive EV. In running what jury-rigged sims I could program for it, it appeared to perform decidedly better than the Ace/10 Front Count, slightly inferior to or equal to KISS I, and considerably weaker than KISS III, KO or Hi/Lo. It simply is what it is, and has its slot -- a recreational player's counting system.

In closing, I'd say Frank Scoblete is a marketing whiz with lots of gambling savvy and pretty high business standards. Just my 2 cents worth. Feel free to counterpoint.
 

jimpenn

Well-Known Member
He sometimes fails to put the words in the right position. You got to give him some credit for building a residual income machine, but I don't believe he's a top 20 real deal player.
 

Paradox

Well-Known Member
Frank is a great sales person

He is the very best gambler, author and inventor in the world, just ask him!

IMHO---He's a psudo-ploppy who stumbled upon dice influencing. He has practiced enough to make it work for him. Any compulsive gambler can get motivated! If you give him money, he will take it. He has nothing to teach that you cannot get from a book and a much cheaper class. Speed-count is dangerous. You vary your bet, but don't get a meaningful advantage. So you chance a back-off without an advantage. His dice classes are over-priced and he is a pompous ass in them. Dom has the only ego bigger than his, but Dom is better at dice control. Frank is not respected by professional BJ players, he is mocked. How many PhDs and master's degrees does he have this week? He may have purchased a few more since I last checked lol!

Paradox
 

SPX

Well-Known Member
Renzey said:
About a dozen years ago, I spoke at a few casino gaming seminars along with several other lecturing "authorities". There, I met Frank Scoblete. All the lecturers and most of their wives would have dinner together and get to know each other. Frank was an outgoing, dynamic personality, firmly grounded in the principles of advantage play at gambling games.

Although he was apparently a very sharp casino gambler, I believe Frank's first line of interest was to teach advantage play and make money doing that, rather than at gambling himself. I found him to be a prolific speaker and writer -- a natural at that craft.
Thanks a bunch for this very honest opinion based on your personal experience. I found it very interesting to hear your own account and it was also nice to hear someone say something good about a fellow blackjack/gaming author and teacher. It has always seemed to me that that world of blackjack is very factious and people huddle together in their own little cliques.

I have perused some of Frank's books and have read some of the books in his Get the Edge series that weren't authored by him and have never found anything that I would think serious BJ people would object to . . . but still they find reasons to object.

Renzey said:
When all the publicity about "dice control" broke onto the scene years later, I called Frank and asked him for the real "skinny", and whether it was for real.
He said, "Fred, believe me, you can alter the random probabilities of a dice throw enough to gain the upper hand. But it takes an enormous amount of practice -- akin to learning how to throw a major league curve ball."
I know a lot of people refuse to believe it's even possible. But why? Jealousy of sorts or just plain old closed mindedness? These are the same types of people who said that man would never fly, man would never go to the moon and no one would ever need more than 640K of RAM in their PC. . .

Renzey said:
As for the Speed Count, I personally think it's gotten a bad rap. It's clearly inferior to traditional full scale counts, but does produce a positive EV. In running what jury-rigged sims I could program for it, it appeared to perform decidedly better than the Ace/10 Front Count, slightly inferior to or equal to KISS I, and considerably weaker than KISS III, KO or Hi/Lo. It simply is what it is, and has its slot -- a recreational player's counting system.
Well KISS I is not a bad system and no one finds any reasons to denigrate it, so why all the hostility toward SPEED COUNT? I have found others in professional positions to give gambling advice who give it credit, but that's not really the case around the boards here.
 
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shadroch

Well-Known Member
I think you just have to remember that he ,first off,a salesman. Keep that in mind and you'll be fine.
 

SPX

Well-Known Member
shadroch said:
I think you just have to remember that he ,first off,a salesman. Keep that in mind and you'll be fine.
But isn't everyone who offers a product for sale? And didn't they all start off as players first? I mean, I'm sure Frank was a BJ player before he was a teacher and that his teaching sprung from his table experience.

Same with Arnold Snyder or Ken Uston or Stanford Wong. . . They were all players who now have built media empires through their authorship and, I assume, derive most of their income these days from their writing and self-promotion rather than their playing.

Of course I don't know any of these guys personally, just speculating.
 

rogue1

Well-Known Member
I read a book by him I think it was entitled Best Blackjack. I found him to be down to earth,direct, and he didn't try to dazzle you with big words or concepts. In fact in the books' introduction he tells you what he kiddingly called "The Big Secret"-play good games,count accurately,get as much money out as you can when the count favors you! I certainly would recommend his book on blackjack,it was also fun to read.
 

Paradox

Well-Known Member
Hold on now, don't lump gamblers with legendary authors

You're kidding, right? Blackjack authors make less than $1 per book. Most sell less than 20K in their lifetime. SW is also a publisher, but I know he is not "highly" profitable. His businesses seem well run and he is a painfully honest person. I would challenge anyone who meets him to ever catch him in a lie.

Frank Scoblete will NEVER be nominated for the blackjack hall of fame, let alone get elected by his peers.

Frank is NOT even close to the same class as the three you mentioned. Its like lumping Winston Churchill, Henry Kissenger, and Mahatma Ghandi with "Carrot top or Gallaghar".

Frank is a gambler who promotes himself and how to loose less at gambling. He has said on TV and radio that he has multiple graduate degrees. From where, Frank? Enquiring minds want to know. He also changes which degrees he has and now many regularly. He's been asked to clarify his public statements and his statements on TV. Even when faced with videotaped proof of his statements, he refuses to clarify.

I have no respect for someone who preys on gamblers and sells less than what is promised. Frank is just one of many who fit in this catagory. He does not teach a strait-up AP class. He still WANTS TO GAMBLE with an advantage, not take advantage of the casinos through gambling!

According to Frank, you can spend you must scrimp and save for your bankroll, but when you have a big win , spend it. Spend it to reward yourself. Bull ****! You'll go bankrupt if you spend your pos. variances. Any real AP knew this back when he was in AP diapers. A person has to keep their bankroll in tact to survive the neg. variances. Frank's idea of money management would be comedic if it wasn't hurting so many of his students.

He's king of the gamblers and slot players. Don't get me wrong, Frank can throw the dice, but he throws more bull than dice...and he throws dice a lot!

Frank was a gambler who writes to gamblers he still gambles with his reputation.

My biggest problem with Frank is that he is fake and lacks substance. His idea of teaching AP dice theory is to sternly tell you, "you are now an AP, you will never be a gambler again". He repeats it three times without any other explanations. No reasons, no instructions, just his statement. Come on, Frank. You have a group of gamblers in front of you who each got here because they were obsessed with gambling at craps. At least spend ten minutes helping them change their attitude.

Frank even goes as far as to tell players to bet when they have NO ADVANTAGE! That's right, his 5-count is negative EV.

Kenny Uston wanted the fame of being the media babe. He was the real deal. His books could not have made much compared to just one of his many teams.

Arnold is a private man, suffice it to say that his books are great, but he does not sell enough books to be highly profitable. All gambling authors are paid very little. Actually gambling authors have a very small audience. I believe Arnold is way into poker now.

SW is both a publisher and author. I'd imagine his earnings from Pi-Yee are but a small fraction of his other business pursuits. We all know that SW paid for his Stanford education with blackjack. He really does have a PhD.

As far as clicks in the AP world... you are 100% correct!

New players must prove themselves before veterans will take a risk and open up to them. Its the way its always been and will always be. Maybe it isn't right, or maybe it is... either way it is what it is. At each level of AP accomplishment comes new learning experiences. It is never ending, there will always be opportunities to discover. The very most successful APs don't do what others do, they make their own way and find their own opportunities. At least that is my experience.

BJ21 is where the purists and theorists post. They will jump on you like a pack of hyena's if you try to post anything less than the truth, or what is mathematically correct. If you want to know what it takes to play full-time the BJ21 forum is a real dose of reality. BJ21 has a lot of highly successful and other big personalities that have tired of the waves of semi-poppies and new counters who come to share their "special" take on BJ. New players are welcomed over there if they are genuinely looking for answers and if they don't come with any pre-conceptions or try to spout out voodoo.

Anyone who is successful at advantage play will tell you EMOTIONS have no place in AP. If you can't control your emotions and actions in the casino, you are lost and don't know it. No one wants to caudal the emotionally immature.

I digress...

Basically Stanford, Kenny and the Bishop are legends. Frank is only a legend in his mind.

But, I don't have strong opinions about any of this :)

Paradox
 

ChefJJ

Well-Known Member
Paradox said:
Frank even goes as far as to tell players to bet when they have NO ADVANTAGE! That's right, his 5-count is negative EV.
Good point.

I guess, to his credit, he really only claims that the 5-count reduces the amount of times that you bet while still accumulating comp points. I don't necessarily subscribe to the method...why not a 4-count, or a 6-count?
 
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eps6724

Well-Known Member
SPX said:
Well KISS I is not a bad system and no one finds any reasons to denigrate it, so why all the hostility toward SPEED COUNT?
I haven't read up on SPEED COUNT, but I DO know that KISS I is the beginning of the KISS count, and is used to get someone comfortable until they can add it it, eventually lead up into more advanced and powerful KISS II and III. This gives it the advantage of ONE count that can be built upon as the player grows in comfort and confidence, instead of getting used to one, wanting something more powerful and having to learn a complete new count style.

And a number of people (both semi and pro's) use it and it's predecessor, Snyder's red7.
 

SPX

Well-Known Member
Paradox said:
Frank is NOT even close to the same class as the three you mentioned. Its like lumping Winston Churchill, Henry Kissenger, and Mahatma Ghandi with "Carrot top or Gallaghar".
Isn't that a bit of an overstatement? Even Fred Renzey, a player and teacher who is respected beyond this message board, only had good things to say about the guy.

Just because someone is not THE BEST doesn't mean it's the difference between Ghandi and Carrot Top. Why not come up with something more realistic like the difference between Al Pacino and Samuel L. Jackson . . . both great, one just more highly regarded and decorated than the other.

Paradox said:
According to Frank, you can spend you must scrimp and save for your bankroll, but when you have a big win , spend it. Spend it to reward yourself. Bull ****! You'll go bankrupt if you spend your pos. variances. Any real AP knew this back when he was in AP diapers. A person has to keep their bankroll in tact to survive the neg. variances.
Well this makes no sense. . . All BJ teachers have a figure regarding how big your bankroll needs to be to survive the swings. A common figure is around 500 average bets. So as long as you make sure to keep that amount intact at all times then what's the problem with spending your winnings? Anything you win over that amount was never there in the first place!

Paradox said:
He's king of the gamblers and slot players. Don't get me wrong, Frank can throw the dice, but he throws more bull than dice...and he throws dice a lot!
Well at least you admit he does have some kind of skill at something. I know I saw him on the "Dice Dominator" Breaking Vegas episode and he seemed to be sincere and clearly knowledgeable on the subject.

By the way, if it sometimes strikes your fancy what's wrong with gambling from time to time? I really enjoy the game of roulette. I understand it has a large house edge but I enjoy the action and it's fun for me. (I also believe that there are ways to play that increase your chances of walking away ahead.) And, from time to time, I will even *GASP* drop a few dollars in a slot machine. As long as someone differentiates between the two, can someone not teach advantage techniques along with other information about casino games?

What if Stanford Wong wrote a book about slots? Would that make him any less bad ass at Blackjack?
 
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Paradox

Well-Known Member
Wow, I don't think we can communicate properly

Last try at communication:

You really don't get it, Frank has a warped definition of Advantage Player and it is spreading like a cancer to ploppies everywhere.

Fred Renzey is like every professional of his kind. Generally, professional don't speak candidly of one another in public. I admire Fred although I've not met him.

Fred Renzey is a professional and he is showing a professional courtesy. SPX, you should not expect a completely candid discussion in public. This is not a free for all from prominent authors. Fred and Frank will spend time together for years to come if they don't have animosities or at least if they don't air them publicly. Its hard to get an MD to bad-mouth another MD, lawyers don't tell the truth when you ask of their peers. (Peer reviews aside)

SPX, you are completely correct that Frank knows about neg. flux. I agree that it makes no sense that he teaches to spend the money. I've been a guest (non-paying) at several of his various events. I have heard him say the opposite of what you and I both know. I have no idea why Frank promotes rewarding yourself after a big win. SPX, you and I agree on this. It makes no sense. I've heard it twice from Frank's very own lips. I'm glad we can agree that Frank is wrong for teaching this reward system. Frank cannot tell you the definition or basic formula for N0. Sad, very sad for those spending their hard earned money. Its not fair to his students.


I'm not sure you understand how SW and AS operate. The point is... They do write about slots and video poker occasionally. If they write something, it WILL have positive EV. Frank doesn't even write all his stuff, and Frank has no problems with promoting neg EV gambling.

SW and AS are above writing about neg. EV games, just to make a buck off of a gambler or psydo-AP. Frank has built a huge business taking advantage of gamblers. In that way, Frank is no better than the casinos!

When Frank starts telling the truth, and clarifies his previous untruths, I might begin to build respect for him. I know SW, AS and FS personally. You have mentioned that you don't. Maybe I'm not telling every detail of why I feel this way, but suffice it to say when you get to know all three, you will understand what I'm saying.

I don't like people who smile and tell you a line of **** while taking your money. If SW writes something, he believes it, has proven it and lives it.

As you have pointed out, Frank isn't even teaching the basics of variance flux when he knows he should.

Good Luck with that roulette and slot thing. With every game in the casino being beatable, I hope you are playing both with an advantage. They are both beatable with enough work. I hope you see the light and find the way to +EV in all your casino battles.

Paradox
 

rogue1

Well-Known Member
Best Blackjack by Frank Scoblete

I can find no fault with this book. I very much like his style of writing. He keeps it simple and never attempts to dazzle you with B.S. (and I don't mean Basic Strategy) All in all I think the book is very enjoyable to read as well as quite informative and could help most folks play a better game of blackjack for sure!
 

SPX

Well-Known Member
Paradox said:
Fred Renzey is like every professional of his kind. Generally, professional don't speak candidly of one another in public. I admire Fred although I've not met him.

Fred Renzey is a professional and he is showing a professional courtesy. SPX, you should not expect a completely candid discussion in public. This is not a free for all from prominent authors. Fred and Frank will spend time together for years to come if they don't have animosities or at least if they don't air them publicly. Its hard to get an MD to bad-mouth another MD, lawyers don't tell the truth when you ask of their peers. (Peer reviews aside)
Okay, fair enough, but would that explain why Fred would go out of his way to contribute to this discussion? He could easily have just kept his thoughts to himself and moved on to another thread but instead he gave his opinion on the matter. It's not like anyone was asking him personally.

On a similar note, Stanford Wong appears on the "Dice Dominator" Breaking Vegas episode and singles out Frank Scoblete and the money he has been able to win via dice control. Couldn't he just as easily have opted to not appear on the program?

Paradox said:
I'm not sure you understand how SW and AS operate. The point is... They do write about slots and video poker occasionally. If they write something, it WILL have positive EV.
I get video poker, but I would like to know something about +EV slots. Not sure where you're going with that. . .

Paradox said:
Good Luck with that roulette and slot thing. With every game in the casino being beatable, I hope you are playing both with an advantage. They are both beatable with enough work. I hope you see the light and find the way to +EV in all your casino battles.
I have read up on the subject of beating roulette i.e. wheel clocking, sector tracking, etc. Wheel clocking, for the most part from what I understand, isn't especially useful anymore because biased wheels are very difficult to find these days. As for sector tracking, I would be interested in trying to learn to visually sector track but how can you even really practice that without a roulette wheel to experiment with?

If I haven't made it clear, I don't mind actually doing a bit of gambling from time to time. I have a 10 chip spread that I like to use when playing
that works pretty well, especially when employing a hit-and-run strategy.

10 Chips covers 25 numbers. 16 of those numbers (covered by 4 chips) will recover 8 chips for a net loss of 2 chips. The other 9 numbers are covered by 6 chips, with 6 of those numbers producing a net gain of 10 chips and 3 numbers producing a net gain of 28 chips.

It may not be +EV but it's fun and often produces decent returns.
 
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SPX

Well-Known Member
P.s.

Paradox said:
Frank cannot tell you the definition or basic formula for N0. Sad, very sad for those spending their hard earned money. Its not fair to his students.
I know that for the math junkies out there this is a big deal, but I assure you that I have ready many books that teach counting techniques that never mention N0.

Can't someone be a great counter and highly successful without going into all the math a la Theory of Blackjack?

2-7 = +1
8,9 = 0
10, A = -1
(KO style at least)

Bet X when the count hits X.

There you go. Go count and be successful. That's all you REALLY need to know.
 

Paradox

Well-Known Member
How do you know

when to get paid? At what point do you know the pos. flux is real profit instead of variance? Approximately 4x N0 is when you can take your paycheck from blackjack. If a player has no idea of when he has overcome variance, how can he properly take his profits?

You are correct, a counter does not need to know the math, but you do need to know more than EV, how to keep a count and a few indexes. What good is positive EV if you and a team of a dozen people can never play enough to get paid. Ever wonder why certain games that seem playable by a novice are considered unplayable by a pro?

You have a good start in your quest for enough knowledge to count profitably, but you do have a bit more to learn. If you can't or don't want to learn the math (I didn't either) Get CVData and spend a few weeks playing around with it and understanding what it is telling you.

If you don't understand N0, you have no way to know when your BR has grown artificially (pos. varience) or when it is true profit (earned EV at 4x N0). Various teams "break the bank" at different times, but a solo counter needs to understand more than a few indexes and how to keep a count.

My guess is that you have read less than a dozen books and haven't digested the library at blackjackforumonline and the archives at BJ21. If you do, you will see the rest of the big picture.

Good "Luck"

-Paradox
 
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