My First Positive Counting Experience

Ch3rryC0ke

New Member
Hey Everyone,

Well this is my first post to the forum. I was introduced to Blackjack, and card counting, just about 2 months ago. Over the long weekend of November, I went to Vegas with some friends and gambled for the first time, playing blackjack. I stuck to single deck, and despite the crappy odds, I came out $700 on top. I was hooked. So I started doing some research about the game. I found this website, read the forum, and then bought a book: "Blackbelt in Blackjack" by Arnold Snyder. Its a great book.

Since reading that book I got even more hooked. I bought many decks of cards, started practicing counting down a deck, and now I can routinely count a deck down in about 25 seconds. I also bought the Casino Verite software and used that extensively to practice my counting skills, and had mixed results. Its hard to keep your count in a 6 deck shoe! Its easy to get distracted and forget what the hand before had. But my simulations in casino verite had turned out very well for me, so I had high hopes.

Well, after getting decent at it, I decided to try my "skills" at Cache Creek in CA. I lost $500. I played terribly. I was up for a while, and I started to loose money, and then I forgot my counting skills and started playing like a traditional gambler -- betting big to try and get back in the game.

I also noticed that in those 6 deck shoes, the count never went up! And if it did, it barely stayed there. I also forgot the count many times and ended up just playing BS through the shoe, only to find myself down $200, and ultimately I went broke and down $500. I felt really crappy. But I knew I had made a lot of mistakes, and had not stuck to my strategy, and not played smart.

Well, the title of this thread was my first positive experience.. so lets get to that. This past weekend I took a trip to Reno with some friends. I stayed at the Grand Sierra.

So the first night, I had $280 and I lost it playing single deck. I'm not sure what happened. I was too sick, I was too tired, and I knew that I shouldn't have gambled. I lost it all, and I Lost it quickly. I can't even remember how it went. I vowed to not gamble anymore.

The next night, my buddy decided to play BJ with me. We found a double deck game that was great. The count went up many times! Even though the hands were being dealt face down, I was able to keep count pretty accurately, and I bet a 1-4 spread of $10 as my minimum. I broke even what I had lost the night before.

Later on in the night, I went and played some single deck shoe, and I lost money. I was now down $400. But to my surprise, the dealers were paying 3:2 on the SD! I went and borrowed some money against my credit card, because the odds were so good. It was probably a bad idea. I was doing well, I recovered all my debts, and I still made some money. But I started playing stupid again, I stopped keeping track of the count properly, and I lost that money.

It was 6am now. All my buddies were upstairs sleeping, and I didn't have a room key. I thought about what had happened, and how when I really paid attention, I was able to make a bunch of money. I just said F*** it, I'm not going to lose this. I went and borrowed another 500 against my CC, but only used 300. I told myself I would not bet stupid, no matter what, and I would stick to my count. When Ilost track of the count, I swore to only bet $10, or perhaps some $15 and $20 camoflauge bets.

I then sat at a SD table, and I was sitting with just one other player. The dealers were being very friendly, the guy next to me was betting WAY more than I was (black chips all the way), so I figured heat would not be directed at me.

I did it. I recovered all my losses. I turned $300 into $1300 and got the hell out of there. I actually made $200 more than what I owed my CC and my friend, but if I include the cash advancing fee, I probably made like $100. I was just happy that I made back my huge debt.

I was betting alot more than $10. My minimum was still $10, but from time to time, when the count was high, I bet as much as $200, $150, and $100. I did get some heat. ONe dealer caught on to me and reshuffled after 2 hands, even with only 2 people sitting at the table! Luckily he didn't last long.

The conditions were just perfect, and I felt great. I had a lot of fun playing. Boy it sure is exciting to hit Blackjack on a $200 bet!

I recognize several factors:

1) I definitely hit some positive variance
2) SD is better for me becuase if you lose track of the count, it resets quickly
3) Good penetration is hard to come by
4) Playing with one other person against the dealer is what I noticed to be the best setup
5) I drank a beer every hour or so, drank tons of hot chocolate, and cracked a lot of jokes and made a lot of conversation.
6) When the pit bosses came by, I talked to them a lot.
7) I got lucky with dealers and pit bosses and heat in general.

I also noticed that the second hand dealt of the deck, I almost always won. I also noticed that if the count was high, and the dealer won the hand, I was much more likely to win the next hand. Ilooked for situations like those and bet really high when that happened.

I'm not sure if I came away from the game up becuase I was lucky. I think it was a bit of both. I think I hit some good luck, but I think I also used the count properly in my favor.

I was using the Red 7's count by Snyder. I used his single deck indices but I didn't even remember all of them. I played mostly BS with a little bit of "the count is really negative so I should hit my 14 vs 12" type of thing. I also used the count for my insurance bets which helped me a lot. Saved a lot of money that way.

God I hate those 2 face cards.


Anyways, it was a really fun experience, and one hell of a roller coaster. It really is hard to bet those $200 chips! BUt when the dealer yelled "2 purple out" (actually I forget what color it is now, but whatever the $500 chip was).. damn that felt good. Even though Ididn't make much money, I am so glad I recovered my debt, and came out with enough to cover my lift ticket.

Future lessons:

1) Six deck shoes in real life don't hit as high counts as they do in the simulators

2) Six deck shoes are worthless with 6 people playing. Infact Iwould say almost any game is worthless with that many people

3) I really do love SD. I just feel like the count is a much stronger indicator of how the cards will turn out than it is in 6D.

4) Don't borrow against your credit card. I got away with it this time, but I vow to not do that again. It can get you in a lot of financial trouble.

I had fun, and I'm not going to play for a while. I'm gonna setup a seperate bank account for gambling so I can have my fun without ever cutting into my financial stability. I need to practice counting more, but I think I'm pretty good at hiding it.

I still need to recover some of that $500 I lost at Cache Creek! Soon enough :D
 

ScottH

Well-Known Member
Ch3rryC0ke said:
Hey Everyone,

Well this is my first post to the forum. I was introduced to Blackjack, and card counting, just about 2 months ago. Over the long weekend of November, I went to Vegas with some friends and gambled for the first time, playing blackjack. I stuck to single deck, and despite the crappy odds, I came out $700 on top. I was hooked. So I started doing some research about the game. I found this website, read the forum, and then bought a book: "Blackbelt in Blackjack" by Arnold Snyder. Its a great book.

Since reading that book I got even more hooked. I bought many decks of cards, started practicing counting down a deck, and now I can routinely count a deck down in about 25 seconds. I also bought the Casino Verite software and used that extensively to practice my counting skills, and had mixed results. Its hard to keep your count in a 6 deck shoe! Its easy to get distracted and forget what the hand before had. But my simulations in casino verite had turned out very well for me, so I had high hopes.

Well, after getting decent at it, I decided to try my "skills" at Cache Creek in CA. I lost $500. I played terribly. I was up for a while, and I started to loose money, and then I forgot my counting skills and started playing like a traditional gambler -- betting big to try and get back in the game.

I also noticed that in those 6 deck shoes, the count never went up! And if it did, it barely stayed there. I also forgot the count many times and ended up just playing BS through the shoe, only to find myself down $200, and ultimately I went broke and down $500. I felt really crappy. But I knew I had made a lot of mistakes, and had not stuck to my strategy, and not played smart.

Well, the title of this thread was my first positive experience.. so lets get to that. This past weekend I took a trip to Reno with some friends. I stayed at the Grand Sierra.

So the first night, I had $280 and I lost it playing single deck. I'm not sure what happened. I was too sick, I was too tired, and I knew that I shouldn't have gambled. I lost it all, and I Lost it quickly. I can't even remember how it went. I vowed to not gamble anymore.

The next night, my buddy decided to play BJ with me. We found a double deck game that was great. The count went up many times! Even though the hands were being dealt face down, I was able to keep count pretty accurately, and I bet a 1-4 spread of $10 as my minimum. I broke even what I had lost the night before.

Later on in the night, I went and played some single deck shoe, and I lost money. I was now down $400. But to my surprise, the dealers were paying 3:2 on the SD! I went and borrowed some money against my credit card, because the odds were so good. It was probably a bad idea. I was doing well, I recovered all my debts, and I still made some money. But I started playing stupid again, I stopped keeping track of the count properly, and I lost that money.

It was 6am now. All my buddies were upstairs sleeping, and I didn't have a room key. I thought about what had happened, and how when I really paid attention, I was able to make a bunch of money. I just said F*** it, I'm not going to lose this. I went and borrowed another 500 against my CC, but only used 300. I told myself I would not bet stupid, no matter what, and I would stick to my count. When Ilost track of the count, I swore to only bet $10, or perhaps some $15 and $20 camoflauge bets.

I then sat at a SD table, and I was sitting with just one other player. The dealers were being very friendly, the guy next to me was betting WAY more than I was (black chips all the way), so I figured heat would not be directed at me.

I did it. I recovered all my losses. I turned $300 into $1300 and got the hell out of there. I actually made $200 more than what I owed my CC and my friend, but if I include the cash advancing fee, I probably made like $100. I was just happy that I made back my huge debt.

I was betting alot more than $10. My minimum was still $10, but from time to time, when the count was high, I bet as much as $200, $150, and $100. I did get some heat. ONe dealer caught on to me and reshuffled after 2 hands, even with only 2 people sitting at the table! Luckily he didn't last long.

The conditions were just perfect, and I felt great. I had a lot of fun playing. Boy it sure is exciting to hit Blackjack on a $200 bet!

I recognize several factors:

1) I definitely hit some positive variance
2) SD is better for me becuase if you lose track of the count, it resets quickly
3) Good penetration is hard to come by
4) Playing with one other person against the dealer is what I noticed to be the best setup
5) I drank a beer every hour or so, drank tons of hot chocolate, and cracked a lot of jokes and made a lot of conversation.
6) When the pit bosses came by, I talked to them a lot.
7) I got lucky with dealers and pit bosses and heat in general.

I also noticed that the second hand dealt of the deck, I almost always won. I also noticed that if the count was high, and the dealer won the hand, I was much more likely to win the next hand. Ilooked for situations like those and bet really high when that happened.

I'm not sure if I came away from the game up becuase I was lucky. I think it was a bit of both. I think I hit some good luck, but I think I also used the count properly in my favor.

I was using the Red 7's count by Snyder. I used his single deck indices but I didn't even remember all of them. I played mostly BS with a little bit of "the count is really negative so I should hit my 14 vs 12" type of thing. I also used the count for my insurance bets which helped me a lot. Saved a lot of money that way.

God I hate those 2 face cards.


Anyways, it was a really fun experience, and one hell of a roller coaster. It really is hard to bet those $200 chips! BUt when the dealer yelled "2 purple out" (actually I forget what color it is now, but whatever the $500 chip was).. damn that felt good. Even though Ididn't make much money, I am so glad I recovered my debt, and came out with enough to cover my lift ticket.

Future lessons:

1) Six deck shoes in real life don't hit as high counts as they do in the simulators

2) Six deck shoes are worthless with 6 people playing. Infact Iwould say almost any game is worthless with that many people

3) I really do love SD. I just feel like the count is a much stronger indicator of how the cards will turn out than it is in 6D.

4) Don't borrow against your credit card. I got away with it this time, but I vow to not do that again. It can get you in a lot of financial trouble.

I had fun, and I'm not going to play for a while. I'm gonna setup a seperate bank account for gambling so I can have my fun without ever cutting into my financial stability. I need to practice counting more, but I think I'm pretty good at hiding it.

I still need to recover some of that $500 I lost at Cache Creek! Soon enough :D
First of all, DO NOT go back to the casino until you can keep the count! Seriously.

Secondly, 10 dollar minimum, 200 dollar maximum on a single deck game? Good luck with that!

Thirdly, do you have the proper bankroll to make a 200 dollar top bet? It sounds like you don't, but I'm just assuming...
 

sagefr0g

Well-Known Member
really good story there Ch3rryC0ke.
i think it's good that your going to take some time before you play more.
analyze your experience. learn from that and set some parameters for your game plan. stay away from that atm if it spells financial trouble for you.
get your game plan set, stick with it and don't chase loses. losing is part of winning with this gig. just plod along with your game plan and monitor how it goes so as to improve the game plan when you recognize weakness in it.
get your self together a decent bankroll if you don't have one already. study up on risk of ruin and proper bet sizing.
 

EasyRhino

Well-Known Member
Nice post coke. I notice a lot of similarities with my struggles in learning. It took me a few failed trips to the casino, with practice sessions from using lessons learnt, until I began to feel comfortable.

However, I'd like to be a wet blanket and point out some things that went wrong:

- You won on your first gambling outing. This is, so the sayings go, the worst thing that can happen to a gambler. Getting beat up at Cache Creek and your first day in Reno will help erase any hubris a little bit, but I don't think you're there yet.

- When you completely lost the count, your first instinct should have been to wong out of the game. Second instinct would be to drop to minimum bets. But you started increasing your bets? Yikes. And I did have that happen to me one time, where suddenly I didn't know if the running count was +1 or +11... it was pretty scary, I had to back off the table and clear my head.

- It sounds like your counting skills are very good in practice, but casino distractions are making it tougher. That's a common problem, you're not alone.

- You mentioned that your camouflage is great. If you're shaky on the count while at the table with real money, camouflage doesn't matter. In my opnion, it's better to be a spot-on counter with no act at all (with a small bet spread), than to have a great act and questionable results.

- It really does sound like you were overbetting. Bear some rules in mind: Folks who gamble as their sole employment usually bet under 1% of their bankroll as their big bet. Folks who have a replenishable bankroll, but play conservative, use 1%. Moderately aggressive play with a replenishable bankroll uses a few percent.

- While working on the skills, I recommend playing with small bets and small spreads. Something like 1-4/5 at a single deck game would be great to ensure that you've got the skills down, but it puts less money at risk, and runs very little chance of attracting heat.

- Sounds like you were stretching your sessions too long, or too late. It's something that I'm guilty of too. My personal best 13 hours at one casino, with fairly liberal breaks. However, eventually you're going to hit the wall where you just can't focus any more. That's a good time to stop, if the casino hasn't backed you off already.

- You noticed that you seemed to win more on the second of the shoe. Ignore that. Bet in correlation with the count.

- You noticed that you seemed to win after a loss when the count was high. Ignore that. Bet only in correlation with the count.

But anyway, it looks like the main practice areas are working through distractions, and proportional betting discipline. I wouldn't worry too much about indices at the moment, you could even just play with a surrender index and nothing else, just to get acclimated.
 

Preston

Well-Known Member
Futher,

You took a cash advance on a credit card to gamble?????? THAT IS THE NUMBER ONE THING YOU NEVER NEVER NEVER NEVER NEVER do. If you exhausted your bankroll, L E A V E A S A P ! ! ! ! ! !

Figure the fee for the credit card being at least 3% meaning $15 right there, plus the 25% interest you will have to pay. IT IS NOT WORTH IT!!! You got lucky this time, but what would happen if you lost it? Seriously.

I'd re-evaluate if I were you.
 

EasyRhino

Well-Known Member
PS, try to pay off the entire credit card balance immediately, it will stop the interest from accruing at the ridiculous cash advance rate. Don't wait for the bill.
 

Ch3rryC0ke

New Member
YEah, I made alot of mistakes. Especially borrowing against my credit card. I paid it off the same night. I finished at 9:30 AM and went to wells fargo right after that, deposited all the cash and paid it off. Still got charged interest though. I'll never do that again. :eek:
 

Monkey!Boy

Active Member
But to my surprise, the dealers were paying 3:2 on the SD!

I take this to mean that you were playing at 6:5 tables. Playing against those kind of odds is a losing proposition, even for a skilled and experienced counter, which you clearly are not. If you were not playing at a full-pay table here, you were playing a losing game. You were gambling and you got lucky. You should not expect that to happen again if you play the same game.

Six deck shoes in real life don't hit as high counts as they do in the simulators

Yes they do. That's why pros use simulations. There is a lot more variance in shoes, which means that you may go much longer without a high count than in SD, but that also means that you can have shoes where you'll get in dozens of hands in a row at a sky-high count. You saw one side of the coin in the very short time that you played; there is another side as well. SD with good rules is better than a shoe game, but a even a bad full-pay shoe game is much better than 6:5 SD.

Sorry if I'm coming across as too harsh here, but it does sound like you've got a lot to learn-- in terms of basic playing skills (you really should be 100% confident that you can keep the count through a single deck before playing), discipline and game selection. I recommend taking a good long break before you play again-- otherwise, this first positive experience will probably be your last.
 
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