My SD strategy for review

[Automatic Monkey]

This summer I will be spending a day and a half Downtown playing SD. I've identified 5 playable SD games in the Downtown area, and simmed a conservative spread strategy for beating them that I think may survive the Downtown SD heat. I've written it all up here for review by the experts.

THE COUNT- Hi-Opt II, Ace sidecount, additional aces worth +2 TC. Quarter deck resolution.

THE SPREAD- 1:4. Consists of two bets- two hands of 2 units on betting TC>=+3, 1 hand of 1 unit all other times. If it looks like I can get away with it, I will up this a bit in the field but from recent trip reports I've read I could even be pushing the envelope with this.

INSURANCE- At playing TC>+5, readjusted for Ace count (Ace count readjust not simmed)

RESULTS- IBA= +1.40%, Win rate for $10 unit at 100 hands/hour = $25.23. DI= 11.31

PLAYING INDEXES: I decided on 23 most beneficial ones.

12 vs 2 hit < 6
12 vs 3 hit < 3
12 vs 4 hit < 1
12 vs 5 hit < -1
12 vs 6 hit < -4
13 vs 2 hit < 0
13 vs 3 hit < -2
13 vs 4 hit < -4
13 vs 5 hit < -6
14 vs 2 hit < -5
15 vs X hit < 6
15 vs A hit < 8
16 vs X hit < 0
16 vs A hit < 5

8 vs 4 DD >= 10
9 vs 7 DD >= 6
10 vs 9 DD >= -2
10 vs X DD >= 6
11 vs X DD >= -6

A8 vs 5 DD >= 3

XX vs 4 split >= 11
XX vs 5 split >= 8
XX vs 6 split >= 7

 

[Rob McGarvey]

That looks like a solid plan. There are always room for some improvements. If you are going to try to XX vs 456 you better be willing to XX vs ? with the wrong count to establish yourself as a wayward XX splitter, or you'll be toast. You may also want to use consolidation betting from Malmuth's blackjack essays, what we call around here "Grifter's Gambit." He deserves the recognition for reviving it, bringing it into the spot light where it belongs. Scroll down about half way in the Grifter article to find it. Actually, above that there is good XX splitting info too. I suggest you read it again and ignore the "me me me" part of the article. I have already edited it and printed it out for its good bj info, you may want to do the same, or wait to get the Henry T edited version. You're playing a good game with a superior count, so you are way ahead of the pack already. Just hope those 6:5 Jerkjack sings don't spring up on those tables between then and now. And tape a Sears catalogue to your ass, cuz you may get the boot! ;>

And don't talk to stangers!

 

[Dschddny]

If I understand correctly, you'll either be betting your min or your max every hand, with no in between? I've often thought that that made sense, rather than a linear progression between the min and max bet based on the count. But, it seems that most people opt for the latter approach. Thoughts?

 

[eyesfor21]

what about the often occuring hands of
14,15,16 vs x,a
hard doubles 12's=?
a,a-no split?

 

[Automatic Monkey]

Re: Not significant enough to learn

My list of index contains all the ones that pay more than 5 cents per hour more than the Basic Strategy play, according to the sims. Given a $10 BU.

 

[Rob McGarvey]

Gino Polkamouse

Have you GPM's Gino order? It kind of tosses DS's Ill 18 onto its ear. Maybe that's why the IQ test had that question in it.