the shoe from heaven

[gui]

A lot of people posted responses about "the shoe from hell"
where the count is growing constanly. I remembered my shoe of heaven; it
went to the complete opposite. Two players, 3 spots opens (I had two)
The true count(multileveled) rose quickly (within 2 or 3 turns)
to a +4. At this point, the odds were even (or almost). After,
the TC remained constant for the rest of the shoe. I split hands,
doubled down, got maybe 2 BJ, everything was winning and I kept raising
my bets by 1 units after successful DD or SP.

Stability in the count is good for the player; the dealer shows a
small card -> a 10 in the hole; you need to double down(two small
cards) -> another 10.

More formally, If you are playing a shoe using pure BS and the next 26 cards contains exactly eight 10s, which correspond to an average, then
your EV is about 1% over the EV of the game.*

*I got a D- to my programming course; I suggest you to check this out

GUI

 

[Tom]

Ploppy Shoe

Just because the next 26 cards in a shoe has 8 tens means absolutley nothing if you're not counting cards. To claim you have a 1% advantage is false and misleading.

A plus 4TC is not even odds.

A dealer up-card smaller than a 10 should not be considered a small card we should always double on.

"*I got a D- to my programming course; I suggest you to check this out"

There's no programming needed to verify your beliefs are false

 

[gorilla player]

questions

1. what counting system. TC >= +4 doesn't mean much unless you identify the counting system. For Hi-Lo you have a 1.5% advantage roughly, with +4.

2. Why would 8 ten cards in the next 26 give you any advantage? That is what one would expect since there are 16 10's in the complete deck and you get 1/2 of them in 1/2 of the deck. That actually should hurt your advantage, since you will be playing with a pretty neutral deck with a TC near zero. IE I am assuming that if there are the correct number of 10's in the next 26 cards, there are the correct number of neutral and small cards as well. And this is omitting aces completely...