Hi all,
I have been playing in the UK for about 18 months, recently I have increased my spread and started playing two hands.
Conditions are 6 decks d9,10,11 DAS, s17, no hole card, pen 1-1.5.
Using hi-lo with the top 6 variations, I bet 5 at <+1, 15 at+1, 50 at +2 100 at +3 125 at +4 175 at +5 and 200 at >=+6
I am forced to play through most negative situations because casino typically only has one table and wonging in and out of one table causes heat. I usually only play one hand on counts less than 1 but sometimes have to play 2 because most casinos here insist on a minimum of two hands at the table.
I ran some sims using BJ analyser and came up with expected win rate of about £60 per 100 hands, also estimate I need about £12K bank role.
Can anybody tell me if my sums are right, I've had a poor last 60 hours resulting in a £600 loss. Suspect this is just the god of standard deviation but some morral support would be useful.
Also an easy to use formula for calculating win rate and risk of ruin would be cool.
Thanks,
Guy
I have been playing in the UK for about 18 months, recently I have increased my spread and started playing two hands.
Conditions are 6 decks d9,10,11 DAS, s17, no hole card, pen 1-1.5.
Using hi-lo with the top 6 variations, I bet 5 at <+1, 15 at+1, 50 at +2 100 at +3 125 at +4 175 at +5 and 200 at >=+6
I am forced to play through most negative situations because casino typically only has one table and wonging in and out of one table causes heat. I usually only play one hand on counts less than 1 but sometimes have to play 2 because most casinos here insist on a minimum of two hands at the table.
I ran some sims using BJ analyser and came up with expected win rate of about £60 per 100 hands, also estimate I need about £12K bank role.
Can anybody tell me if my sums are right, I've had a poor last 60 hours resulting in a £600 loss. Suspect this is just the god of standard deviation but some morral support would be useful.
Also an easy to use formula for calculating win rate and risk of ruin would be cool.
Thanks,
Guy