variance, wives, girlfriends and others
forwhat77 said:
wish i could say this was only an upward process...I dropped friggin 450.00 last night and the worst thing is a fuzzy counter hit high tide following my betting schedule. damn it!! I know that it works but it's so hard to see everyone else get high cards on a positive count and I get hard 14. Whats up with 14&15 I never want to see that number again in my life. Now my girlfriend is pissed off cause I dropped and doesn't believe it works. She wasn't saying that when I was giving her 200$ to waste every other day! I should have been applying it towards my bankroll!!!!
Welcome to the world of the advantage player, especially the advantage player who has just begun his journey.
You will win more money in some sessions than you would have flat betting and in turn you will also lose more money in some sessions than you would have made flat betting. The variance is high. The great count where you are the guy getting 14 and 15 to the dealer's pat hands is not rare and when it happens you get spanked. If you can not mentally or financially take this, if you can not continue to put out the bigger bets when you have the edge, then you should stop now and save your money. It is one of many many tests that you must pass in order to be that 1 in 10 who trys counting and is positively able to continue.
Family members, friends, girl friends, workmates and just about everyone else who you let know that you are a cardcounter will not believe you make money at this or will expect you to win 90% (or more) of the time you play. Most likely they will see you as some kind of addicted gambler with a story about winning most of the time. Sitting down and explaining the variance of the game, the fact your edge is so small and that you might expect to win 65% of your trips if you are good and play good games, is too much to explain to anyone who is not reasonably committed to doing the same things you are doing. Just show us the money and show it to us everytime or we do not buy your story and you are just another loser.
Now years of winning will prove the point and there is something to be said for just proving the point to yourself because for a new counter, self doubts can be very natural without even needing the girlfriend doubts adding to it.
Look throuhg enough old posts and you will find a few about folks with significant other problems or even work problems where the perception of them as gamblers has hurt their future with their employer.
Of course one should share with their S.O., but be careful who else you share your AP with. Ask yourself first if there is any benifit to telling this person? Generally there is only a downside. This can become a problem that boards like this can help (pysc services from Ken Smith's board). Most people as they succeed at something, especially something new and different, have a need to share or brag about this with others. When it comes to advantage play do your sharing here and do not share with others who might use it to hurt you or at the least will get a lower opinion of you from this information.
We are just a poor, misunderstood, hated little minority. The casinos hate us and our loved ones misunderstand us. Can this make a backrooming a hate crime
ihate17