I`m sure I have opened myself for a massive flaming here but so be it.
Let`s start off with AP`s. What is the greatest difference between an AP and a Ploppy. Knowledge we would say.
So lets say a complete blackjack numpty plays with a a 10% edge against him. This is someone who plays by hunches etc.
Our second ploppy is the Basic strategist who now plays perfect strategy( well most of the time....), so we now looking at approx -0.5% (deck dependant)
Then we have our proficient card counter- Who tadadadadadadaadaaaaaa plays at a maximum 4-5 % advantage at extremely high counts,probably only seen for 1 % of the session.
It`s amazing how many times I have watched ploppies betting the max, making numerous strategy mistakes, milking the side bets and generally playing like complete muppets.
Yet the times I have seen them walk out with enormous wins, obviously due to `luck` has been numerous on plenty of occasions.
At the same point, revelling in my own superiority as a counter, I`ve laughed at them, put them down(in my mind) and just considered them general idiots.
Gamblers is the word that comes to mind. But I guess that`s what I am - a ploppy with a 4-5% edge( 1% of the time). Which will make me a winner over x amount of million of hands(theoretically).
Unless I`m on the extreme end of standard deviation.
At the end of the day I am convinced it is luck that will make or break me( Why can`t I be the one who has that 100 session upswing?- illogical of course.)
Because I will not play 1 million hands or more.
As an `AP` I`v e sat at BJ tables for about 500 hours. Not much many would say- and not nearly enough to establish hourly winrate etc. I`ve played a solid hi-lo count with 40 indexes. Wooooopeeeeee Dooooo.
And I`ve made 250 units( happy about that)
But why do we always curse when the `ploppies` win unlikely bets ,massive odds on PP side bets they should`nt be playing but the Blackjack Gods smile upon them, as they walk out the casino with their magnificent winnings.
They are gambling idiots we say, But are we not all gambling idiots with a 4-5% advantage?
Everytime I put my max bet out on a high count, I have still roughly a 50% chance that I will lose it.
So yes I guess I am just an advanced ploppy(with a edge):joker: