Back from Biloxi

[NchooseK]

There is no F....ing long run, you must go by session, the only real gauge to performance.

The Long run is for gamblers and addicts, I thought you realized that.

CP

No offense but you are completely wrong. The long run is the whole reason casinos make money. Its probability - law of large numbers...look it up.

When you have a 2% advantage over the house, in the long run you will make money, but in the short run you could lose money or win money with large variations. The reason why casinos make money is because in the long run they have an advantage in every game. It doesnt matter if someone gets lucky and wins a big bet every once in a while because that will only happen, say, every 46/100 times...The long run is for CARD COUNTERS!!!

 

[creeping panther]

Johnny

No offense but you are completely wrong. The long run is the whole reason casinos make money. Its probability - law of large numbers...look it up.

When you have a 2% advantage over the house, in the long run you will make money, but in the short run you could lose money or win money with large variations. The reason why casinos make money is because in the long run they have an advantage in every game. It doesnt matter if someone gets lucky and wins a big bet every once in a while because that will only happen, say, every 46/100 times...The long run is for CARD COUNTERS!!!

Johnny,

Thank you very much for enlightening me...BTW if I have a 2% edge over the house I do not expect to make money in the "Long Run", I expect to make money every session and that is my goal, and I will accept nothing else. I refuse to put my success off into the future, that future is now, at that table..... at that game,,,,,, because in that "Long Run", I will never be playing that exact game again. If I shall come up short I will immediately critique my own play, in the harshest of ways, with great anger, go over every move of mine and the dealer and conditions, because I have lost a unique battle, one that I will never have a chance to fight again.

I do not accept losing, that is something your "Long Run" makes you very comfortable doing.....losing.

CP

 

[HockeXpert]

I've never read any posts that dispute the long run theory before. I think I see where CP is coming from and imho it is a philosophical and self-imposed edict that drives him to seek only the finest opportunities and play with no mercy on his prey. I love CP's concept and dedication.

We all (hopefully) understand the math and the theory but to apply it with such fine-tuned targeting of only the best opportunities is the way to make the short run your long run.

Just my two cents.

HockeXpert

 

[Blue Efficacy]

I think expecting to win every session with a mere 2% edge is simply unrealistic.

That would be akin to the casino expecting to win every player's buy in at roulette, every single time.

If you have a bag of tricks that allows you to have a chance of winning any given session, more power to you. However, I would think that such a situation would yield you a higher advantage than 2%.

Obsessing over winning every session is wasted energy, IMO. Unless one is able to obtain an extreme advantage most will never see, it's just unrealistic to expect that much. If you're ahead by a large amount over so many hours of play, I really fail to see how it really matters how many sessions you won and you lost.

 

[Thunder]

The long run is not definable. One person's long run is another person's short run. For statistical purposes, after tens of thousands of hands in the SAME conditions, you would have a fairly accurate representation. It's hard though to measure it because there are so many variables when you're put into a real life situation. There's nothing wrong with expecting to win every time. That's the winner's mentality that you have to have to be successful in not just BJ but life. On those times you do lose, it's how you deal with your losses that further separates the winners from the losers. So CP, I ask you this. When you do lose, what do you do?

 

[ramziabdbj]

Thx panther. that helped a lot
I stayed away from the single deck and had a good run this past weekend.
But I think after playing many 6D and few DD I could say that DD is much more rewarding with good rules

 

[creeping panther]

Raz

Thx panther. that helped a lot
I stayed away from the single deck and had a good run this past weekend.
But I think after playing many 6D and few DD I could say that DD is much more rewarding with good rules

Yes, I dig DD. Thanks!

CP