Bankroll...

zengrifter

Banned
bluezman said:
Thanks all, for reply. I'm still missing somthing. If I have an edge of say 1-1.5%, were am i losing my shirt? this edge must manefest itsself somewhere. Ok my poker experience has brought me to this point. If I hold say JJ, QQ, KK, AA all these hands has a positive ev...sure i may get suckout many times, but for the long run my ev must play out isnt this the same concept for bj.
Yes, what poker pros call "sucked out" we call variance or flux - the advantage will prevail given enough hands. zg
 

EasyRhino

Well-Known Member
bluezman said:
Ok every one is talking pretty negative here, and i understand there will be neggative variances...but what of the positive ones? I roll in with $600 at point would you recomend walking?
When you get tired, bored, thrown out, or have to file the Canadian equivalent of a Currency Transaction Report.

But let's go back to looking at the downside. Say your max bet is $50, and you are aggressively backcounting, so you're not even playing any negative hands. You finally see a table have a count go positive, and by the time you sit down, it's pegged at "max bet" level.

- You drop $50 on the table. Double down. Lose. Your bankroll is now $200.
- Another $50 bet, you get a blackjack! Bankroll is now $275.
- Another $50 on the felt, dealer shows an ace, you pay insurance because the count justifies it. Insurance loses. Then your hand loses. You're back to $200.
- One more bet. Now you get a pair of 6s vs a dealer 6. you split. Each hand turns into 11s. You double down both. You get aces on both. Then dealer then draws to a pat hand, and you just lost your last $200.

Now, after backcounting tables for at least 20 minutes and playing for 2 minutes, you go home.

I'm not saying there anything wrong with this method, but it might be a shorter trip than you expect.
 

zengrifter

Banned
EasyRhino said:
When you get tired, bored, thrown out, or have to file the Canadian equivalent of a Currency Transaction Report.
There is no Canadian equivalent - Canadians are NOT taxed on gambling winnings! zg
 

zengrifter

Banned
EasyRhino said:
...Now, after backcounting tables for at least 20 minutes and playing for 2 minutes, you go home.

I'm not saying there anything wrong with this method, but it might be a shorter trip than you expect.
Thats why the idea is beter suited for 600-750 per visit - he saves at the rate of 300/wk, but he's willing to drop 750 on occaission. zg
 

bluezman

Member
zengrifter said:
There is NO difference. zg
Ty zengrifter. I wonder somtimes about non counters at the casinos, they go in with basic strategy there in a negetive from the getgo and continue to go back... but i least i will be playing with some edge...ty
 

bluezman

Member
bluezman said:
Ty zengrifter. I wonder somtimes about non counters at the casinos, they go in with basic strategy there in a negetive from the getgo and continue to go back... but i least i will be playing with some edge...ty
I will try your advice... i will accumulate any winning sessions until i reach that 10,000 mark...ty
 

zengrifter

Banned
bluezman said:
I will try your advice... i will accumulate any winning sessions until i reach that 10,000 mark...ty
To make it work you will need to accumulate all wins AND (win or lose) accumulate the $300/weekly - even if you win $1000 one week you will still need to pony in the $300. zg
 
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