blackjack bluebook2 pg43,44,45

[KOLAN]

Progressive betting strategy work
wwww +4
wwwl +2
wwlw +2
wlww +2
lwww +2
wwll 0
wlwl 0
wllw 0
lwwl 0
lwlw 0
llww +1
wlll -2
lwll -2
llwl -3
lllw -2
llll -4
results +13, 6 times. -13, 5 times

 

[Deathclutch]

Progressive betting strategy work
wwww +4
wwwl +2
wwlw +2
wlww +2
lwww +2
wwll 0
wlwl 0
wllw 0
lwwl 0
lwlw 0
llww +1
wlll -2
lwll -2
llwl -3
lllw -2
llll -4
results +13, 6 times. -13, 5 times

I'm not sure what you mean by 6 times and 5 times. The possible outcomes for a four trial event both equal 13 in each direction. This is also assuming an even money game.

Actually on second look I see what you mean by 5 and 6 times. That is irrelevant. The total still equals 13 in each direction meaning it cancels out at 0.

 

[Canceler]

Progressive betting strategy work
wwww +4
wwwl +2
wwlw +2
wlww +2
lwww +2
wwll 0
wlwl 0
wllw 0
lwwl 0
lwlw 0
llww +1
wlll -2
lwll -2
llwl -3
lllw -2
llll -4
results +13, 6 times. -13, 5 times

Seems like the parts I've bolded ought to be 0 and -2, respectively.

But it would still net out to 0.

 

[KOLAN]

seems like the parts i've bolded ought to be 0 and -2, respectively.

But it would still net out to 0.

no in this progression
is after llw +1

 

[Deathclutch]

no in this progression
is after llw +1

No, Canceler is right, but the math still works out the same.

 

[KOLAN]

no, canceler is right, but the math still works out the same.

bet here is more winning slips

 

[Sonny]

Progressive betting strategy work
wwww +4
wwwl +2
wwlw +2
wlww +2
lwww +2
wwll 0
wlwl 0
wllw 0
lwwl 0
lwlw 0
llww +1
wlll -2
lwll -2
llwl -3
lllw -2
llll -4

Congratulations! You took a break-even game and found a progression system that breaks even. Well done.

Now let's see what happens when we use that progression system on an even-money bet of roulette.

[B]RESULT  PAYOUT   PROBABILITY      EV[/B]
wwww      4       5.03%          0.20  
wwwl      2       5.59%          0.11  
wwlw      2       5.59%          0.11
wlww      2       5.59%          0.11
lwww      2       5.59%          0.11
wwll      0       6.22%          0.00
wlwl      0       6.22%          0.00
wllw      0       6.22%          0.00
lwwl      0       6.22%          0.00
lwlw      0       6.22%          0.00
llww      1       6.22%          0.06
wlll     -2       6.91%         -0.14
lwll     -2       6.91%         -0.14
llwl     -3       6.91%         -0.21
lllw     -2       6.91%         -0.14
llll     -4       7.67%         -0.22

[B]TOTALS    0     100.00%         -0.22[/B]

So you've taken a game with a house edge of 5.26% and managed to lose 0.22/4 = 5.44% of your money. Not only are you going to lose money, you are going to lose more money.

-Sonny-

 

[KOLAN]

Congratulations! You took a break-even game and found a progression system that breaks even. Well done.

Now let's see what happens when we use that progression system on an even-money bet of roulette.

[B]RESULT  PAYOUT   PROBABILITY      EV[/B]
wwww      4       5.03%          0.20  
wwwl      2       5.59%          0.11  
wwlw      2       5.59%          0.11
wlww      2       5.59%          0.11
lwww      2       5.59%          0.11
wwll      0       6.22%          0.00
wlwl      0       6.22%          0.00
wllw      0       6.22%          0.00
lwwl      0       6.22%          0.00
lwlw      0       6.22%          0.00
llww      1       6.22%          0.06
wlll     -2       6.91%         -0.14
lwll     -2       6.91%         -0.14
llwl     -3       6.91%         -0.21
lllw     -2       6.91%         -0.14
llll     -4       7.67%         -0.22

[B]TOTALS    0     100.00%         -0.22[/B]

So you've taken a game with a house edge of 5.26% and managed to lose 0.22/4 = 5.44% of your money. Not only are you going to lose money, you are going to lose more money.

-Sonny-

00 zero is more terrible
to win roulette i know better way