since i posted this thread, i had another thread discussing BR, ROR, and Kelly bet sizing. What i mainly wanted to make sure was that i wasn't oversizing my bet at low TC and undersizing at high TC.
i have since adjusted my spread to 1,5,12,16 (which is the kelly bet equivalent in units for my expected edge at each TC) and I've Had MUCH better results.
Last night i played about 5 shoes with no real variance to speak of, up 10 units, down 10 units, and then i got a heater on my 6th. RC +7 on the first hand, and never dipped back down below +3. Obviously this got really good towards the end of the shoe.
I hadn't seen the dealer place the cut card, but per my estimation there must have been 90% pen on this shoe (as opposed to usual 75%) because i started playing two hands as soon as i thought that this shoe was almost over. I was betting 2x10 and winning my big bets (including a very interesting hand of 99 v dealer 9 which i split, got 19 on one and got a 2 on the other for a Dbl..dealer busted on that hand.)
Left the shoe +80 units, up about 70 on the day and immediately walked over to the carny texas holdem game to lay some cover and chat it up with a pretty dealer. that was some of the best game ive played in a long time, and i dont just mean the Blackjack :cool2: