ExhibitCAA
Well-Known Member
A few more points
1. "Which I imagine is what you are seeing how you have bullied other people on here." Show me the posts where I have "bullied other people on here."
2. It is possible that chitown will avoid the inevitable train wreck by setting stop losses that are fairly small, so that he will go home before taking a catastrophic loss in one visit to the casino. This will not change the fact that his overall expectation is negative. By reducing his total action, however, it will reduce his total loss.
3. If he DOES play long enough to allow a single session to deliver a huge loss, I expect that this particular session will not be reported on the Web site. However, I believe chitown would then feel uncomfortable reporting subsequent winning sessions. The solution is that the trip reports would stop entirely if a big loss occurs, leading our voyeuristic community to wonder "What ever happened to chitown? Is he still playing?" Some would infer that chitown has stopped playing, but more likely, chitown will be driven underground, keeping his poor results private from then on. You see, there is never a happy ending. Progressionists always boast of their (short-term) wins, and then ultimately slink away when the losses mount. No progressionist ever shows up five years later with a mansion and a boat. If they show up five years later at all, it's with a mantra and a book.
4. Empirically, it appears highly unlikely that a progressionist can transform himself into a counter. I know of one success story, but that was a guy who had programming skills, simmed a progression (on roulette), saw that it was worthless, and quickly moved on.
5. The ideal outcome is that chitown starts to use his progression only in positive-expectation counts as dictated by Red 7, and finds that he wins more than he did previously. This starts to become "fun." After a while he discovers that he wins even more by choosing a bet solely determined by the Red 7 system, instead of the OG system. Eventually, he derives the most "fun" from using the straight Red 7 system. Further down the line, he feels that OG is "anti-fun." (Imagine the retraining in "A Clockwork Orange.") Even further down the line, he feels that JG is "anti-fun."
1. "Which I imagine is what you are seeing how you have bullied other people on here." Show me the posts where I have "bullied other people on here."
2. It is possible that chitown will avoid the inevitable train wreck by setting stop losses that are fairly small, so that he will go home before taking a catastrophic loss in one visit to the casino. This will not change the fact that his overall expectation is negative. By reducing his total action, however, it will reduce his total loss.
3. If he DOES play long enough to allow a single session to deliver a huge loss, I expect that this particular session will not be reported on the Web site. However, I believe chitown would then feel uncomfortable reporting subsequent winning sessions. The solution is that the trip reports would stop entirely if a big loss occurs, leading our voyeuristic community to wonder "What ever happened to chitown? Is he still playing?" Some would infer that chitown has stopped playing, but more likely, chitown will be driven underground, keeping his poor results private from then on. You see, there is never a happy ending. Progressionists always boast of their (short-term) wins, and then ultimately slink away when the losses mount. No progressionist ever shows up five years later with a mansion and a boat. If they show up five years later at all, it's with a mantra and a book.
4. Empirically, it appears highly unlikely that a progressionist can transform himself into a counter. I know of one success story, but that was a guy who had programming skills, simmed a progression (on roulette), saw that it was worthless, and quickly moved on.
5. The ideal outcome is that chitown starts to use his progression only in positive-expectation counts as dictated by Red 7, and finds that he wins more than he did previously. This starts to become "fun." After a while he discovers that he wins even more by choosing a bet solely determined by the Red 7 system, instead of the OG system. Eventually, he derives the most "fun" from using the straight Red 7 system. Further down the line, he feels that OG is "anti-fun." (Imagine the retraining in "A Clockwork Orange.") Even further down the line, he feels that JG is "anti-fun."
