About a year ago I was sharing a DD table in a high roller room on the strip with a guy who was definately just the kind of player a casino loves to see betting $5,000 or more a hand.
He would split 2's and 3's vs dealer 10 and Ace. He would stay on 13 vs a dealer 7, hit 15 vs dealer 3 and double 5 vs a dealer 5 and must have won like 20 of 21 of these strange plays. I am sitting there getting away with a $100-$1000 spread on a closely watch DD game for a much longer period than I would play (besies the larger than usual spread) because as far as I knew, the whole casino world was concentrating on him. He was up over half a million in an hour plus, while I was up perhaps 1 max bet and though I was up, I was honestly wondering why I could not have the unconcious luck this guy had.
The doubles were driving me slightly nuts. Not that I had not been through this before, but just in comparing my so called timing to his. I would double 11 vs a 9 or 10 and the dealer would always have it in the hole. He would split 2's vs a 10 and land up with two stiffs but the dealer would turn a 6 and bust, every single time.
He leaves a big winner and I decide I do not want to play heads up and color up (truth is I was playing too long at this game and to play alone meant they would be now looking at my play if they had not earlier) Pit comes over and I remark that that guy was some great blackjack player. Pit tells me that the guy has probably dropped several million there in the past year or so.
So for a given period of time and betting enough money, any strategy or lack of strategy can and will win but over a period where variance levels off, this guy lost millions.
ihate17