Opposite borders
Sonny said:
I propose the opposite question: What for?
-Sonny-
This thread is starting to hot up a bit. It should reach its zenith soon; probably about noon. Your opposite question proposed is a loaded shotgun Sonny, pointed right at my...hand. So why should anyone ever bother counting dealer bust totals for each shoe, let alone recording, comparing and analysing them. I personally spent many, many, much time doing just that. Even though I never read anywhere or heard of any such action as being beneficial for card counters, I undertook that. Why? To fully answer, I need to go back in time.
Now, I'd better be very careful with this... I read those Gamblers' Fallacy threads you mentioned. Did I get it? Yep. I'm sure you'll see exactly that reflected somewhere in my reply. I hope.
At more than one point in my card counting career, I hit a reef in the rapids, but this particular one seemed to last longer than two weeks. Variance ruled, dealer 21's off stiffs seemed to be in epidemic proportions, often pipping my 20 (doubled) on the post. Splits and doubles' success seemed like they were deliberately avoiding me; and much of this was happening when - according to Don, (whose math I have great respect for) - the count favored me.
I even called my card counting instructor and he said words like: "Yeah, so what? Like I taught you. That's blackjack. You gotta expect that kinda stuff. I had something like that a few times. One went on for months! Get over it mate. Hang in there, you will eventually come out the other side."
Right. But I was getting over it. The whole card counting grind was beginning to get on my goat. (Old saying here.) This bleak period was beginning to activate things in my neurons. This thought occurred to me: "Surely there's another way!"
My conscious mind chirped up with: "Course there isn't you idiot! It's all been done before by people much smarter than you, dickhead! You wanna try the impossible, huh?"
I took a breather for 2 months, with my 8 decks, some pens and...notebooks and headed for a quiet, peaceful location where I could look at...card stuff. Those two months turned into...many. Bottom line was my cc career benefited because I uncovered certain things that I learned to implement accurately.
Now you turn up with your opposite question and expect to get my hard-won ... 'certain things.' Many of these certain things run in the direct opposite of established thought, such as: basic strategy. Everyone knows what BS says. My view is that BS is great, for basic beginners. But for a card counter who is aiming at a paltry 0.5% profit on turnover, (that was me) I needed more than a half% now, in order to have to put up with all the aggravation involved. So BS was just one thing I 'tinkered' with. Dealer busts was another. I have more.
I will continue this soon, as promised, as it's getting long-winded. Unless, of course, you tell me to shut the f... up!