Licentia's System

[Licentia]

We understand perfectly how your system works. Other people have not had success because your system is flawed. Now you are talking about winning 'streaks' and other such term that have been proved time and time again to hold no advantage over the long run.
100k hands doesn't prove anything i'm afraid and what you describe your system mirrors the results that any negative progression system will generate. Many small wins and every so often a catastropic losing streak. Because of the very slow nature of the progression you will see a slightly more balanced result, but it will not result in a long term win.
Where did you get this figure of $600? I've got to assume that it's come from the most you've ever gone down during your trials, making it anacdotal and worthless as any sort of limit in any mathematical sense.
Oh and btw, we do believe in systems that actually do gain an advantage, but only ones that can be proved. Just say, 'but i've never had a losing session' doesn't prove anything. Expecting people to back you up when you are discussing a progression system - a varient on systems that have been proved 100's of times over to be of no merit - when the only supporting evidence you can offer is 'it works for me over a relatively small sample of hands' is never going to get you anywhere.

RJT.

Unfortunately RJT, there will never be more that I can offer to prove my system to you personally. Even if I wrote a computer program you would mock the results. You would say that my computer program is flawed and biased. There is nothing I can do but to say that it works because I know it does.

Licentia.

 

[Licentia]

So your strategy is based on a magical winning streak that suddenly comes along and saves you before you lose it all? And you still don’t believe this is voodoo? What happens if that winning streak doesn’t come? What happens if it comes too late? What happens if it isn’t big enough to win back your losses?

Awesome Questions Sonny!!!

The winning streak has always come. It has always come on time and has always been enough to recoup all losses until that point in time (if BJs pay 3:2). And your last question is the most brilliant!!! It shows that you are understanding!!! I am very excited!!!

If I increase and decrease bets on any other hand like 20s or Double Downs or 21s and NOT increase and decrease on BJs then the win streak will NOT ALWAYS be big enough to win back my losses. Sometimes it will recoup my losses, other times it will get close, but ultimately fall short. If I fall short of recovering my money, my win streak will end with my bets high. Then my losses would be massive and far more than $600. I have tested all of this thoroughly.

If I use Surrender then my win streak will NOT ALWAYS be big enough to win back my losses. Most importantly; if BJs only pay 1:1 then my win streak will NOT ALWAYS be large enough to win back my losses. I have tested all of this thoroughly.

However!!! If BJs pay 3:2, I am always able to ride a win streak back up to and above my starting bankroll. Because the BJs compound as my bets increase. 3 BJs in a row at 1:1 payout is $5 bet wins $5, $10 bet wins $10, $15 bet wins $15 for a total of $30 won. But at 3:2 payouts I have enough propulsion to drive me back up to where I started. $5 bet wins $7.50, $10 bet wins $15, $15 bet wins $22.50 for a total of $45. The difference is huge and it is enough to push me back up without fail. I have tested all of this thoroughly.

Trust me, I have tested and I know. I hoped that Double Downs would work but they don't. Increasing and Decreasing on Double Downs will on occasion fail to recoup all losses. I know how to make the system fail, and I know how to make it succeed. If I use BJs at 3:2 payouts it doesn't fail!

I am convinced in my heart that my strategy works without fail, and I am willing to put everything on the line for it. If I was unsure of it I wouldn't be here. I don't play at casinos for fun. I play for profit. Expecting to lose in the long run is not my idea of fun. I even quit my job for this strategy. I wasn't going to quit until I knew for sure that it worked.

If even once in the many hundreds or possibly thousands of cycles of losing streaks and winning streaks that I have played through... if even once those BJs at 3:2 failed to push me back up over where I started, then I wouldn't be wasting your time.

Licentia.

 

[Sonny]

Awesome Questions Sonny!!!

The winning streak has always come. It has always come on time and has always been enough to recoup all losses until that point in time (if BJs pay 3:2).

That’s a clever dodge, but you still haven’t answered the questions. What happens when the winning streak doesn’t come? What happens when it comes too late? What happens when the winning streak isn’t big enough to win back your losses? You can tell me that it hasn’t happened yet and I will tell you that it eventually will. You can tell me that it is impossible and I will show you why you are wrong. I just want to know what your plan is when your winning streaks aren’t enough to cover your losing streaks. If you haven’t planned for that then your system is not complete. When that time comes you will not be prepared. What do you do then?

I am convinced in my heart that my strategy works without fail, and I am willing to put everything on the line for it.

Then why do you not answer any of my questions? If you knew that your system worked then you should be able to answer any questions people have, yet you repeatedly dodge questions or give ambiguous answers. If you truly believe in your system then you should stand behind it, not hide behind it.

-Sonny-

 

[Canceler]

Time to give up?

Nobody is going to convince anybody of anything here. Licentia won't be convinced until he personally experiences his system breaking down. And if Licentia successfully uses his sytem for the rest of a long life, the rest of us still won't be convinced.

I'd be satisfied to know that if Licentia does ever experience the failure of his system, he will tell us.

 

[Sonny]

Nobody is going to convince anybody of anything here. Licentia won't be convinced until he personally experiences his system breaking down. And if Licentia successfully uses his sytem for the rest of a long life, the rest of us still won't be convinced.

I agree. I'm going to close this thread since we seem to be going around in circles. Licentia can start a new thread to keep us informed of her progress.

-Sonny-