Thanks everyone
Thanks for all the support guys. I appreciate it.
To LG, while there is truth to what you say the most successful APs I know follow my advice exactly. They use the absolute strongest counts and make huge profits consistently with a small bet spread because they don't need a big spread. Their variance is tiny so a losing week is very very rare due to a teensy NO. They hit stores realizing a hit of a couple thousand is the most they should shoot for since they want to be welcomed back the next day. If they hit the same store more than once in a short period of time for their win limit, they don't go back for a while.
Playing this way has resulted in the lose of no stores for more than 2 decades and wins per year that put them at the top of this sight's earning survey. They have proven that the approach I outlined is the most long term profit maximizing for any bankroll. I play a small spread due to bankroll issues first, I probably would with a much larger bankroll too. A 1 to 10 spread is very lucrative at the best games with a strong system. These APs I am referring to use more like a 1 to 6 or 8 spread because their restriction for betting their largest bets are rarely hit as you need a huge advantage. I think their style of play is the long term winner. I mean you reduce variance with a very profitable small spread that incorporates other AP techniques with the strongest system and your NO becomes so small that those downswings are small and very rare. You made variance your best buddy not your worst nightmare. You have combined the optimal math with an understanding of the real world constraints that will also make your play less optimal.
LG can make lots of money with what he describes but I think he would be surprised how much more efficiently he would make money with an AP grad school approach. Most people or animals for that matter are lazy and follow the path least resistance but putting in the time to be able to play a very profitable small spread at a reasonable max bet that keeps the best games open so they are the only games you play is worth the effort. It is the art of being the most successful AP.
As to the idea of the great promos must be killed. I never bought into the idea that wrong behavior is okay because others do it or worse. You not only kill that promo but assure any future promos will be weak. Again very selfish and shortsighted thinking. A better approach is to organize an enforcer squad that beats these sorts of people to within an inch of their life so they don't kill the existence off the killer promo altogether.
It reminds me of hunters who try to organize other hunters in the area to let the small bucks walk by safely, shooting the does for meat so there will be lots of big trophy bucks to shot. I counter the arguments of the deniers who say if they don't shoot the little buck someone else will by pointing out that may be true most of the time but the one thing you know for sure is if you shoot that young buck it will not walk by you as a trophy. If they ever get to my house they see some of the trophy bucks I have killed (I stopped mounting them many years ago. How many do you need on your wall.) they comment on how they wish they could hunt were I hunt or some other idea they have about why they don't get them. When I tell them I get those bucks off of public hunting land and didn't start getting them until I let the young bucks walk so they have learned it is safe to be in the spots I hunt because they didn't die when they walked by three years prior.
The parallels to the AP's hunt are amazing. Don't hunt in the same spot to much. Rotate dozens of good spots. Don't prematurely kill your trophy, food can be had without doing that. Make your trophy comfortable to be in your presence or your spot. Try to encourage others who frequent your area to follow the same guidelines. If your spot has to many shortsighted hunters you will have no or few trophy bucks and those will be so smart as to be not worth hunting. The buck that survived the gauntlet knows all the hunters tricks and easily avoids all but the most contrarian hunter. He usually falls to a hunter who does things no veteran hunter would do.
LG, I just hope you bet that big spread or max bet for other reasons than you never honed your skills enough to use anything better than a weak counting system. If you bet large max bets with huge variance because you never put in the effort to play the best game you are capable of that just makes me sad. I know many are in it for the thrill and collecting well at stores without large variance may not be what they are looking for.
I tried to be more civil through my pain after realizing that for the last 2 weeks my posts have been an unconscious venting mechanism. Hopefully I was successful.
Thanks for all the support guys. I appreciate it.
To LG, while there is truth to what you say the most successful APs I know follow my advice exactly. They use the absolute strongest counts and make huge profits consistently with a small bet spread because they don't need a big spread. Their variance is tiny so a losing week is very very rare due to a teensy NO. They hit stores realizing a hit of a couple thousand is the most they should shoot for since they want to be welcomed back the next day. If they hit the same store more than once in a short period of time for their win limit, they don't go back for a while.
Playing this way has resulted in the lose of no stores for more than 2 decades and wins per year that put them at the top of this sight's earning survey. They have proven that the approach I outlined is the most long term profit maximizing for any bankroll. I play a small spread due to bankroll issues first, I probably would with a much larger bankroll too. A 1 to 10 spread is very lucrative at the best games with a strong system. These APs I am referring to use more like a 1 to 6 or 8 spread because their restriction for betting their largest bets are rarely hit as you need a huge advantage. I think their style of play is the long term winner. I mean you reduce variance with a very profitable small spread that incorporates other AP techniques with the strongest system and your NO becomes so small that those downswings are small and very rare. You made variance your best buddy not your worst nightmare. You have combined the optimal math with an understanding of the real world constraints that will also make your play less optimal.
LG can make lots of money with what he describes but I think he would be surprised how much more efficiently he would make money with an AP grad school approach. Most people or animals for that matter are lazy and follow the path least resistance but putting in the time to be able to play a very profitable small spread at a reasonable max bet that keeps the best games open so they are the only games you play is worth the effort. It is the art of being the most successful AP.
As to the idea of the great promos must be killed. I never bought into the idea that wrong behavior is okay because others do it or worse. You not only kill that promo but assure any future promos will be weak. Again very selfish and shortsighted thinking. A better approach is to organize an enforcer squad that beats these sorts of people to within an inch of their life so they don't kill the existence off the killer promo altogether.
It reminds me of hunters who try to organize other hunters in the area to let the small bucks walk by safely, shooting the does for meat so there will be lots of big trophy bucks to shot. I counter the arguments of the deniers who say if they don't shoot the little buck someone else will by pointing out that may be true most of the time but the one thing you know for sure is if you shoot that young buck it will not walk by you as a trophy. If they ever get to my house they see some of the trophy bucks I have killed (I stopped mounting them many years ago. How many do you need on your wall.) they comment on how they wish they could hunt were I hunt or some other idea they have about why they don't get them. When I tell them I get those bucks off of public hunting land and didn't start getting them until I let the young bucks walk so they have learned it is safe to be in the spots I hunt because they didn't die when they walked by three years prior.
The parallels to the AP's hunt are amazing. Don't hunt in the same spot to much. Rotate dozens of good spots. Don't prematurely kill your trophy, food can be had without doing that. Make your trophy comfortable to be in your presence or your spot. Try to encourage others who frequent your area to follow the same guidelines. If your spot has to many shortsighted hunters you will have no or few trophy bucks and those will be so smart as to be not worth hunting. The buck that survived the gauntlet knows all the hunters tricks and easily avoids all but the most contrarian hunter. He usually falls to a hunter who does things no veteran hunter would do.
LG, I just hope you bet that big spread or max bet for other reasons than you never honed your skills enough to use anything better than a weak counting system. If you bet large max bets with huge variance because you never put in the effort to play the best game you are capable of that just makes me sad. I know many are in it for the thrill and collecting well at stores without large variance may not be what they are looking for.
I tried to be more civil through my pain after realizing that for the last 2 weeks my posts have been an unconscious venting mechanism. Hopefully I was successful.
