NFL week 10

moo321

Well-Known Member
Cowboys -1 at Giants.

Packers -6 vs. Vikings. The Vikings have no passing game, and Peterson isn't gonna run for 300 against Green Bay at Lambeau. The Vikings secondary sucks this year, too.

Lions +109 at Cardinals. I like the Lions, their defense is playing well and they're running the ball well. Arizona isn't so good. I really think the linemakers just can't give Detroit credit, because they keep giving them soft lines against weak teams. The Lions aren't always great on the road, but they are clearly a better team, and home field doesn't compensate for that so much as to make them a dog.

Seahawks -500 vs. 49ers. San Francisco is completely incapable of passing the ball. Frank Gore is constantly playing against 8 in the box, and as a result hasn't played well (he's also coming off of an injury). Alex Smith will be back, but he's not any better than Dilfer. Their defense is good, though, so there may be value on the under (39.5). Not officially picking the under yet, though.
 

toastblows

Well-Known Member
of the games not off the board currently i like the over/under on GB/MN and SEA/SF. ill make my pick come closer to friday.

The green bay game looks really tempting, farve can throw, vikings are last in passing def....adrian peterson can get a couple running TD's if he gets 296 and 3TDs on SD...GB isnt as good a running def as SD...supposedly :laugh: ...40.5 o/u is managable for over in a C+ or above performance from both teams. :cool2:
 

jack.jackson

Well-Known Member
Games for NFL week 10

STL @ NO 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 710 144 114
BUF @ MIA 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 706 146 121
JAC @ TEN 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 705 119
CLE @ PIT 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 707 110 143
PHI @ WAS 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 711 126 122
ATL @ CAR 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 708 125 123
DEN @ KC 1:00 PM Tickets CBS 704 118 107
MIN @ GB 1:00 PM Tickets FOX 709 181 130
CIN @ BAL 4:05 PM Tickets CBS 712 130 119
DET @ ARI 4:15 PM Tickets FOX 714 121 122
CHI @ OAK 4:15 PM Tickets FOX 715 125 143
DAL @ NYG 4:15 PM Tickets FOX 713 123 126
IND @ SD 8:15 PM Tickets NBC 83 126 122 Radio
DIRECTV SIRIUS
Monday, November 12 Time (EST) Tickets Network Channel HD Channel Home Away Westwood One
SF @ SEA 8:30 PM
 
moo321 said:
Cowboys -1 at Giants.

Packers -6 vs. Vikings. The Vikings have no passing game, and Peterson isn't gonna run for 300 against Green Bay at Lambeau. The Vikings secondary sucks this year, too.

Lions +109 at Cardinals. I like the Lions, their defense is playing well and they're running the ball well. Arizona isn't so good. I really think the linemakers just can't give Detroit credit, because they keep giving them soft lines against weak teams. The Lions aren't always great on the road, but they are clearly a better team, and home field doesn't compensate for that so much as to make them a dog.

Seahawks -500 vs. 49ers. San Francisco is completely incapable of passing the ball. Frank Gore is constantly playing against 8 in the box, and as a result hasn't played well (he's also coming off of an injury). Alex Smith will be back, but he's not any better than Dilfer. Their defense is good, though, so there may be value on the under (39.5). Not officially picking the under yet, though.
there is 5:1 odds on the 49ers? thats insane.. -500 means you have to bet $100 to win $500 right? why are the 49ers insanely favored?
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
SilentBob420BMFJ said:
there is 5:1 odds on the 49ers? thats insane.. -500 means you have to bet $100 to win $500 right? why are the 49ers insanely favored?
No, I'm picking the Seahawks at 1 to 5.
 
moo321 said:
No, I'm picking the Seahawks at 1 to 5.
i know, but the moneyline is -500 for the seahawks, which means you need to bet $500 to win $100, which is crazy i think.. i would think the spread on such a huge moneyline would be like 10 points.. btw im not basing this on anything but what i feel would make sense, not on what history has said
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
SilentBob420BMFJ said:
i know, but the moneyline is -500 for the seahawks, which means you need to bet $500 to win $100, which is crazy i think.. i would think the spread on such a huge moneyline would be like 10 points.. btw im not basing this on anything but what i feel would make sense, not on what history has said
Yep, the spread is 10 points, and that would probably be a decent bet. But I like the moneyline more, because I think Seattle is going to win any close games, and has almost no chance of losing. I don't know if they'll win by 11 or more enough to justify taking the spread.
 

ChefJJ

Well-Known Member
SilentBob420BMFJ said:
i know, but the moneyline is -500 for the seahawks, which means you need to bet $500 to win $100, which is crazy i think.. i would think the spread on such a huge moneyline would be like 10 points.. btw im not basing this on anything but what i feel would make sense, not on what history has said
Just remember that the moneyline does not necessarily relate to the spread. A win is a win with the moneyline.
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
ChefJJ said:
Just remember that the moneyline does not necessarily relate to the spread. A win is a win with the moneyline.
Right. So, for example, I may think that a team has a small chance of winning, but if they lose it will be a blowout. In that case, I'm taking the moneyline on them. On the other hand, if I think a team will play tough defense, and lose a lot of close games, I might give them the spread.

The Lions and Bengals are good on moneylines, the Ravens and Jaguars are good on the spread (for example, not based on research of those teams histories against the spread).
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
Browns +409 at Pittsburgh. The Browns passing attack is great right now, and Roethlisburger (I hope I'm spelling that right) tends to break down when he's playing from behind. I think the Browns can win a few games where they jump out to an early lead. Don't take the spread here; there's a good chance the Browns get behind and can't stop the run in the second half. They either jump out to a lead early and build on it, or they lose badly.
 

ChefJJ

Well-Known Member
I agree that the straight bet is well worth the return, considering the Browns have as good of a shot of beating Pittsburgh as the Broncos & Cardinals did (except for the fact that it is in the Steel City).

good luck
 

toastblows

Well-Known Member
moo321 said:
And I'm picking like 6 :)
I guess ill make one pick of Over on the GB/Vikings game. I dont see them covering Farves passing game, and i dont see GB stopping adrian effectively. 40.5 seems average ....Over it is. 6 games huh? you must have some super powers to pick games. i mean atl/car ...kc/den...ten/jax...all middle of the road. i wouldnt even bet a bag of doritos on them :cool2:
 

ChefJJ

Well-Known Member
toastblows said:
I guess ill make one pick of Over on the GB/Vikings game. I dont see them covering Farves passing game, and i dont see GB stopping adrian effectively. 40.5 seems average ....Over it is. 6 games huh? you must have some super powers to pick games. i mean atl/car ...kc/den...ten/jax...all middle of the road. i wouldnt even bet a bag of doritos on them :cool2:
Detroit is getting a point at Arizona.
 
where can i make sports bets? i dont trust online sites, so where in person do i go? and can i make like $20 bets?

moo321 said:
Lions +109 at Cardinals. I like the Lions, their defense is playing well and they're running the ball well. Arizona isn't so good. I really think the linemakers just can't give Detroit credit, because they keep giving them soft lines against weak teams. The Lions aren't always great on the road, but they are clearly a better team, and home field doesn't compensate for that so much as to make them a dog.
lions are dogs @arizona? pff, the lions are for real, and they will get 10 wins like kitna said, i would easily bet the lions on this one, moneyline or spread.. when the lions and packers have 11 and 12 wins, will people still say they suck?

moo321 said:
Yep, the spread is 10 points, and that would probably be a decent bet. But I like the moneyline more, because I think Seattle is going to win any close games, and has almost no chance of losing. I don't know if they'll win by 11 or more enough to justify taking the spread.
49ers are getting 10 points? i wouldnt take that bet, i could see the 49ers making it a close one, but im kinda guessing here

moo321 said:
Browns +409 at Pittsburgh. The Browns passing attack is great right now, and Roethlisburger (I hope I'm spelling that right) tends to break down when he's playing from behind. I think the Browns can win a few games where they jump out to an early lead. Don't take the spread here; there's a good chance the Browns get behind and can't stop the run in the second half. They either jump out to a lead early and build on it, or they lose badly.
ya, definitely take the browns on the moneyline.. count on losing, but i guess thats how all large moneylines go
 

moo321

Well-Known Member
SilentBob420BMFJ said:
where can i make sports bets? i dont trust online sites, so where in person do i go? and can i make like $20 bets?
All of this depends. If you're non US, I'd trust Pinnacle more than I'd trust most banks with my money. If you're US, you can't really legally bet except in Nevada. You'll have to find a bookie. Placing $20 bets with a bookie is fine; you won't get busted, and you'll get paid. But any higher, and you just can't trust bookies. If you live near a college, it's really easy to find bookies.
 

glovesetc

Well-Known Member
you can bet anywhere

with a bookies and up to $20.00 any self respecting bookie will pay that !!!! The big bets $1,000.00 and over you are best off to fly to vegas at the beginning of the season and open an account there . Any casino is fine although you will get stuck with their line . I reccommend opening accounts at 3-4 casinos , shop the odds , shop the points , and shop the over/unders as well . This is the way we have did it for the last 27 years running !!!!:) :grin: ;) :cool: :cool2:
 
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