ScottH said:
Well, if there are 3 players at a table playing at a 2% disadvantage, the casino still only makes 2% of the bets, not 6%. But I see your point, I see a lot of players that probably play bad enough to reach the 6% mark. But the majority are "semi-smart" players. They know MOST of BS, but make a few mistakes here and there. They are probably the average 2% disadvantage players. I really dont know for sure.
I do not think that anyone
but the casinos can state a percentage such as we are talking about. To do so, would require netting the amount wagered over a period of time and comparring that to the profit/loss of the table. After a significant amount of time, they could then state that for this particular set of table rules, the profit for this table is 6%.
But to say that we can win x% from this table because we have one player playing at a 6% disadvantage, one player playing at a .65% disadvantage and another playing at a 3% advantage would be meaningless. No way to add those percentages together without knowing how much each player was betting.
One thing is for sure though...the more "bad" players a casino can entice to sit at their table and the more they can get them to bet, the better the profits on that table are going to be!
I was playing a couple of years ago at Plaza. I was just making straight basic strategy plays and flat betting the minimum $5 on the double deck game (dealer stands on hard 17's there). I was about half drunk at the time and got into an argument with a know-it-all who said that there was not a basic strategy card printed that would tell a player to hit a soft 18 against a dealer face card. I ended up betting him $25 I think, that he was wrong and he took me up on it. I hopped up, went to the gift shop and bought a card and tossed it to him as I collected my $25. When he tried to hand it back to me, I just told him to keep it, he obviously needed it more than I did! He got mad and left.
Well, there was a nice looking lady sitting next to me during all this betting minimums and obviously not having a clue as to what she was doing. On first base, there was a guy betting from $500 to the $2000 table max on each hand and playing rather badly and losing. He got up, handed the girl a stack of 40 or 50 green chips and told her he was going to the high limit table (I think there is one quarter minimum table at Plaza). He told her that if she had any questions, just ask the guy in the black hat sitting next to her (that was me). Point is, that guy betting the high bets raised the expectations in bottom line for the casino magnitudes.
I conclude that it is the AMOUNT of the bet that the casinos are going to be most worried about. For the losing player betting large...they are estatic to see them sit down. For the AP playing with minimum bets, they aren't too concerned...at least that's my opinion. Rub their noses into the fact and they will take action based on "the principal" of the matter. But if the AP is betting large, they will take action pretty much as soon as they start suspecting they are APs. It's all in the money.
Okay, I've been taking hydrocodone....makes me ramble <LOL>