stories

Dyepaintball12

Dyepaintball12

Well-Known Member
You know what, I believe you man. I don't see why anyone would make this story up to a bunch of strangers on the internet.

On that note, I doubt you'll be welcome to play anywhere after a few months.

- Dye
 
yesiamred

yesiamred

Well-Known Member
Look, if people don't believe me, I can care less, but I ain't going to post anymore if people are going to say I lack credibility. It's a cool story, which is why I posted, but I'm just as happy not debating with people and continuing to improve my skills.[/QUOTE]

Welcome to the forum. It is true this forum can be a little intimdating at first but just keep reading and asking your questions. It takes awhile but then you are welcomed with open arms or at least I was. Being a woman I didn't think that I would ever post again then I just gave them crap right back and it's all cool now.

Continue to practice, sounds like your on the right path. Do a lot of research on the forum and you will find many answers.
Red
 
Solo player

Solo player

Well-Known Member
Regarding insurance, I simply avoid it when the decision as at the margin, especially at a casino that comps me substantially. The place I play comps me way more than the advantage gained from taking insurance when the count is less than .3 high enough to justify it.

please let me know if there are further questions.

Regards[/QUOTE]

Please tell us all. What was the formula you used to figure the comps you recieved that out weighed the value of taking insurance? :confused:

I didn't know comps were based on taking insurance at blackjack.
 
T

Tree

Well-Known Member
Solo player said:
Please tell us all. What was the formula you used to figure the comps you recieved that out weighed the value of taking insurance? :confused:

I didn't know comps were based on taking insurance at blackjack.
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I don't think he's saying what you think he's saying. I don't think I can explain it any better than he did, you may want to re-read the original post. :eyepatch:
 
N

newbctr

Well-Known Member
Tree is correct, and even if he wasn't, I can once again care less about what knowledge people think I have/don't have - I am not going to respond to people who question my skills so such. Instead of questioning my knowledge, why don't you run a simulator and calculate the lost value of never taking insurance below TC 3.2, and then we can compare it to the ridiculus comp offers sitting on my kitchen table that can literally be liquidated into thousands at one casino (including all my points). Insurance is a very marginal probability advantage to the counter. The reasons it becomes such a profitable index play are the substantial bets, relative to your average, associated with it, and the frequency of the occurance in the positive counts.

I advise people to read burning the tables. There are bits and pieces in the book that make the guy a genious. Someone gave me a hard time about being "friends" with the crew, but forging relationships is important, especially for someone like me that that doesn't live close to casinos and must frequent the same places - Ian does a great job emphasizing this. When I play, I play just like another young ploppy that probably has no clue what's going on. I have one "bonehead" play I make 100% of the time, and it occurs frequently. And if the TC is +3, why not just insure the 20? After all, you have 20, so gotta insure it (sarcasm, but people, including bosses, believe this stuff). And if the insurance bet is at the margin, why not go ahead and take the even money? Why not just take it every time, give up a tiny bit of EV, but make the play that casinos know is wrong?

Someone said I would surely be banned all over in no time, but I have been mostly ok. The two places I can't return to were for 1) cummlative win being super high, with 1 losing day out of 13 and 2) casino that is simply off the wall - watched EVERY hand hour after hour, and booted me for 8X spread. I blame myself for this one as the situation was fishy from the start, and I over-stayed. Ironically, I had read on this forum that the casino was a good place to play, and you could spread very high
 
Gamblor

Gamblor

Well-Known Member
newbctr is certainly piling on the BS and just saying a lot of malarky, but he is not completely ignorant of counting.
 
N

newbctr

Well-Known Member
guess the ivy league mba was worth something. I bet some of the experienced vets are just bitter that a young guy can learn this so quickly and have success. apparently I have nothing to contribute to this forum, so I will not be sharing any more details or observations from my recent very long run. In fact, I my take a ride to one casino which has all the favorable rules, and deals out 5 of 6 decks, and didn't give me any heat for playing in the high roller room last time.
 
kewljason

kewljason

Well-Known Member
Gamblor said:
newbctr is certainly piling on the BS and just saying a lot of malarky, but he is not completely ignorant of counting.
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newbctr and the other handles, which I believe to be one and the same, most definately is not ignorant of counting (although sometimes he claims to be) This is one of my major concerns. If he is just a troll and/or person without much of a life 'playing games, well then not that big of a deal, other than he conned some of us into wasting our time trying to help as I did the other night in a different thread. But the bigger concern, which Lonesome gambler pointed out is that it is possible he is more than that, I'll leave the possibilities open, fishing for information. Remote...definately, but possible and that was my main concern when I realized this unusual number of similiar posters with similiar MO's, and why I even mentioned it to both the management of this site and the members of the site. Otherwise I would I would have just kept my mouth shut and followed Mr Shads advice of "not feeding the trolls" and hoping they go away, which I will now do. :)
 
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newbctr

Well-Known Member
1) I have one name, and had never posted on this site until now

2) I have no time in my life to waste making up stories or posting under multiple names

I posted my story one night very late because I was drained from work and thought people would find it interesting, no other reason. I'm not sure why all the accusations out of right field. Is there a way to track how many handles someone has? For someone to post under multiple names is a complete waste of everyones time.
 
N

newbctr

Well-Known Member
I will even give you guys a free tip to make even more money than most of you are making playing cards: invest in MPEL at $10/share
 
HockeXpert

HockeXpert

Well-Known Member
newbctr said:
I will even give you guys a free tip to make even more money than most of you are making playing cards: invest in MPEL at $10/share
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Don't let the SEC see your post. That would be insider trading. I bought MPEL about a year ago at $3.50. Thanks for the tip.
 
N

newbctr

Well-Known Member
wow, you people think EVERYTHING is corrupt or not legit. I have absolutely no insider information and just like the stock - i'm glad you got in cheap as I don't think there will be many pull backs
 
N

newbctr

Well-Known Member
So Jason, what is your biggest unit win on a 6 deck shoe? I didn't run any sims, but based on some numbers I know, I think 160 units has to be over 5 std devs away (less than .1%). I just know the hourly st dev is ~50 units, and a 6 deck shoe is well under 1 hour. So clearly the luck of this is over 3 std devs, probably closer to 4 or 5. More shocking was that the win was in the HL area, and despite maybe only 7 or 8 players in the pit, the boss saw 0 of the hands and didn't seem to have any idea idea until I colored up.... even more odd was that they paid it all in black? I was spread 14x very early in the shoe, possibly only 1/3 through (and thank God for the dealer change, lol), and while the count dropped temporarily a few times, I won't drop wager unless I have a net loss, which i didn't for at least 15 hands.
 
B

BJgenius007

Well-Known Member
kewljason said:
newbctr and the other handles, which I believe to be one and the same, most definately is not ignorant of counting (although sometimes he claims to be) This is one of my major concerns. If he is just a troll and/or person without much of a life 'playing games, well then not that big of a deal, other than he conned some of us into wasting our time trying to help as I did the other night in a different thread. But the bigger concern, which Lonesome gambler pointed out is that it is possible he is more than that, I'll leave the possibilities open, fishing for information. Remote...definately, but possible and that was my main concern when I realized this unusual number of similiar posters with similiar MO's, and why I even mentioned it to both the management of this site and the members of the site. Otherwise I would I would have just kept my mouth shut and followed Mr Shads advice of "not feeding the trolls" and hoping they go away, which I will now do. :)
Click to expand...
When I joined this forum one year ago, I also read someone posting very similar article. Forgot the author's name, but the writing style is almost identical. And I can't believe the same series of events happening to newbctr one year later.
 
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