shadroch said:
He used to be very well respected,but now is the butt of many jokes.
Very well put. Here is the whole history (LONG!):
http://www.blackjackforumonline.com/content/offtarget.htm
Here's the short version: He used to be a solid Advantage Player and shuffle tracker, but then began selling useless betting systems. He helped to pioneer such fallacies as “non-random” shuffles, like-card clumping, player biased tables, dealer breaking (aka dealer dumping) tables, exploitable streaks or patterns in the game, “short term” winning systems, progression and “money management” systems, “card flow” prediction techniques, exploitable online RNGs, and many other inaccurate theories that have been thoroughly disproved by knowledgeable players. Like most system sellers, he had no proof that his system worked and relied on limited (and selective) playing records to back up his claims.
He also developed the TARGET system which relied on finding tables with empty chip racks and full ash trays as a way to identify favorable situations. There have certainly been plenty of jokes over the years!
In fact, much of his nonsense sounds very similar to Cipher’s system! Here are a few quotes from one of Patterson’s books (yes, I actually own it):
“Even though we haven’t figured out the [RNG] algorithm, pseudo random numbers may present us with blackjack game patterns that may be predictable.”
“Get a feel for the casino’s RNG. Are there patterns? Is the game choppy? How long does the chop last before you lose seven or eleven units? Did your winning prior to the loss of a progression cover the loss? Is a winning choppy pattern evident after several successive days of play?”
“The feasibility of this method is right at the edge of the state-of-the-art.”
Hmmm, that sounds mighty familiar, doesn’t it? It’s almost a “near art-form” of “trend analysis“ isn’t it? Once you’ve smelled a load of crap, you can recognize the smell from miles away.:cow: The familiar phrases and lack of proof are always the first thing to start stinking, then the ignorant (“1,750 hands is statistically significant“), arrogant (I’ve won tons of "green" so I must be right, “you just don't know what the hell you're talking about“) and rude (“Put up or shut up”, “any of you clowns have the balls“) behavior gives away the two-bit scammer. If he had something worthwhile to say, he would have said it by now instead of throwing insults at everyone when he can‘t answer our simple questions.
-Sonny-