when to bet in hi-lo

corrs2020

New Member
when do you bet high in the hi-lo? I mean do you bet high when its +1,+2,+3,+4 etc? and do you bet low or not bet at all when its at 0,-1,-2,-3 etc? Say I brought in $100, how would you breakdown how much I should bet in each case?
 

la_dee_daa

Well-Known Member
you bet 1-12 units for a shoe usually and you need alot more then $100 you need 1000unit bankroll for a shot at it.
 

la_dee_daa

Well-Known Member
unit is what ever you want it to be min limits usually $5 because thats the table min some tables are $3 min. you can have $25 units to its what ever you decide. so you need at least a 3-5k bankroll and at that you will only be making very small amount under min wage per hour of play.
 

la_dee_daa

Well-Known Member
corrs2020 said:
I'm only playing for fun. nothing serious. so do you bet more when its +1 rather than when it is 0?
usually not but depending on the exact rules of the game you can have a tiny advantage there and if you want you can but if you deck estimate wrong you may be betting higher with a disadvantage

sugested spread says this in a couple places >T1 1 unit T2 2 units T3 4 units T4 6 units T5 12 units.

but if your just playing for fun maybe at T5 only get 8 units or something if you are concered about better to much.
you wont come out a big winner but you can come out even or little ahead in the longer run.
 

corrs2020

New Member
la_dee_daa said:
usually not but depending on the exact rules of the game you can have a tiny advantage there and if you want you can but if you deck estimate wrong you may be betting higher with a disadvantage

sugested spread says this in a couple places >T1 1 unit T2 2 units T3 4 units T4 6 units T5 12 units.

but if your just playing for fun maybe at T5 only get 8 units or something if you are concered about better to much.
you wont come out a big winner but you can come out even or little ahead in the longer run.

what does the "T" in T1 stand for?
 

Sonny

Well-Known Member
There is lots of information about betting strategies in the Free Counting Resources thread at the top of this page. Specifically read through the Counting 101 article and the Gamemaster's Free Counting Course. There is also some information in the FAQ thread.

-Sonny-
 

mdlbj

Well-Known Member
Sonny said:
There is lots of information about betting strategies in the Free Counting Resources thread at the top of this page. Specifically read through the Counting 101 article and the Gamemaster's Free Counting Course. There is also some information in the FAQ thread.

-Sonny-
Careful with the open source stuff, it may put qfit out of business. :devil:
 

EyeHeartHalves

Well-Known Member
What to bet?

It took me six complete months of not stepping foot in a casino to answer that question and about a thousand others. The answer depends on like at least a hundred variables.

In fairness, I'll set up a scenario for you. You know basic strategy (BS) to the T because you've researched or simulated what it should be EXACTLY for your specific game. You wrote it over and over again on blank paper until it was burned into your brain. Congradulations, now the house edge is only 0.5% against you (considering we're talking about playing in decent gaming towns).

You went out and bought 6 or 8 decks of cards and started simulating real casino situations while trying to successfully conduct a Hi-Lo running count (RC).

Then you practiced deck estimation via spacial judgement as to whether 1 or more decks were played; 2 or more decks were played; 3 or more decks were played; etc. Then you practiced the RC but now you start dividing it by the whole number of decks left UNSEEN. This quotient is called your true count (TC or T).

Then you researched the "Illustrious 18." These are your 18 most valuable BS deviations. For example, insure when the TC is >= 3. This is number one. Another example might be to double-down (D) an 11 vs. A when the TC is >= 1.

We'll assume you're making at least $25K per year, you can currently afford to lose the $5K you have in your account right now and you can afford to lose an additional $5K per year, hereafter. Thus, your bankroll (BR) is $10K of which, 50% is replenishable and 50% is liquid.

Your TC is in essence an estimate of edge. For every Hi-Lo TC added or subtracted from your default edge represents 0.5% added or subtracted from -0.5%. Thus, you should always stop betting when your TC is <= -1 because the edge against you is 1%. Now, you have part of your answer...

Bet 0 @ TC<= -1. If you have to bet when -1<TC<+1, bet $10 (your BR/1000). When your TC is +1, the house edge is 0%. In terms of how much money you make per hour, it doesn't matter how much you bet at this point. The more you bet, the worse your standard deviation (SD) will be, the worse your risk-of-ruin (RoR) will be and the worse your overall edge will be because your average initial bet (AIB) will be higher. However, zero to $20 is reasonable.

At TC=+2, your edge is 0.5%. 0.5% of $10K is $50. I would suggest less. I'm suggesting $40. From now on, make it simple on us both: Always subtract one from your true count and multiply by $40. For example, the TC is +4. Your edge is 1.5% and you are betting $120.

If you do this EXACTLY, you’ll make a gross average of $20 per 100 hands. This does not include tipping which should be thought of as “camouflage.” Your RoR will be less than 5%. This means that you will have a 5% chance of losing your entire BR
 
Top