Warlord said:
I played 1 deck last night that was 1-2, stateline Tahoe and they dealt 75% of the deck. That is why I am running the same scenario using the appropriate table from
here
Of course I was playing very late when there were no other players burning the deck.
And I certainly am concentrating on getting BS down solid, but as I run across these situations I like to address them and learn from them.
thanks again for the replies.
ARE YOU SURE THIS GAME WAS "3:2 BJ" AND NOT "6:5 BJ"? Even if it was, both BASIC STRATEGY and COUNTING says to HIT in the above situation.
Your Hi-Lo TC was in fact +12 which is not enought to stand on 14 vs. 9. YOU MUST REALIZE THAT HI-LO IS FLAWED IN MANY WAYS. You give up small PENALTIES in exchange for it's simplicity. For example, what if all four aces where still left in the deck? They wouldn't help you but that would imply THE POSSIBILITY THAT THERE ARE NO TENS LEFT IN YOUR REMAINING 13 CARDS!
Now, if you still start the RC with -1 for the hand, Wong's
Halves says the TC is only +8, not +12. (i.e.: started w./ -1.0; his 3,6 brought it up to +1.0; the dealer's 9 brought it down to +0.5; his two consecutive hits of 2,3 brought it up to +2.0; dividing by 0.25 for a quarter deck is
TC = +8.
With an even more advanced system than Halves, say
TUC, the VALUE of the positive TC becomes worse. (i.e.: started w./ -8; his 3,6 brought it up to +4; the dealer's 9 brought it down to +1; his two consecutive hits of 2,3 brought it up to +12; dividing by 8 to convert back to Hi-Lo gives us +1.5; then dividing by 0.25 for a quarter deck is
TC = +6.
However, these two examples are probably *not* helping you very much with the understanding of what I meant by "penalties." THE MOST VALUABLE CARD FOR YOUR SITUATION WOULD HAVE BEEN THE SEVEN! And most systems are not what I would call "7-reckoning." Therefore, YOUR INFORMATION IS ALWAYS GOING TO BE A LITTLE SHOTTY ON FOURTEEN VERSUS ANYTHING AND YOU MUST ERR ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION BY ALWAYS USING BASIC STRATEGY FOR ANY AND ALL HARD FOURTEENS UNLESS SURRENDER IS ALLOWED.
SO, ASSUMING NIETHER ONE OF US ARE MATHEMATICIANS, MY ADVICE TO YOU IS TO TRUST THE INDEX NUMBERS THAT HAVE BEEN PROVIDED TO YOU EITHER BY A MATHEMATICIAN OR A SIMULATION. I know you said you were hoping to learn more about BJ as you learn more about BS and that's cool. Plus, your question was an interesting one. It's always a good idea to question the authorities--EXCEPT WHILE SITTING IN A CASINO. This is why BS is so important. It is a foundation for everything else involved with BJ.
IF IN DOUBT, PLAY BASIC STRATEGY.