Reflections on my first big loss

zengrifter

Banned
NightStalker said:
Please also enlighten me with your conclusions.. I would really like to learn from you..
You already know the answer from ExCAA, right?
Don't be disingenuous, please. zg
 

NightStalker

Well-Known Member
No, which answer?

zengrifter said:
You already know the answer from ExCAA, right?
Don't be disingenuous, please. zg
I've the ExCaa book and my own work to improve upon the book strategy and new games. Enough to sustain my life :)
May be you have something better, who knows?
 

zengrifter

Banned
NightStalker said:
I've the ExCaa book and my own work to improve upon the book strategy and new games. Enough to sustain my life :)
May be you have something better, who knows?
I do not have something better. I have never played the game, even.
I honestly think its great that you are able to improve upon something in BC.
On that note, PM Apex the answer and show him the same respect others here have shown you. zg
 

apex

Well-Known Member
zengrifter said:
Okay, then calc the bets for 10% RoR on 17k and tell us how that looks. zg
Spent the last 2 hours trying to make a spreadsheet that would calculate this for me. Im not sure I did it right, but I think I got close. It looks like a $200 max bet gives me an 8.3% ROR.
 

zengrifter

Banned
apex said:
Spent the last 2 hours trying to make a spreadsheet that would calculate this for me. Im not sure I did it right, but I think I got close. It looks like a $200 max bet gives me an 8.3% ROR.
You might get your number verified, and your skills checked for that matter, but on the face of it I would say you are NOT over-betting.

One caveat - you must not spend all of your winnings - the BR must grow, and as it does you must keep reducing your RoR exposure or you will tap out eventually. zg
 

matt21

Well-Known Member
apex said:
Spent the last 2 hours trying to make a spreadsheet that would calculate this for me. Im not sure I did it right, but I think I got close. It looks like a $200 max bet gives me an 8.3% ROR.
Apex, can run some figures for you if you want a 2nd opinion - like your likely hourly rate, standard deviation and ROR. PM if you want that.

Maybe think buying some of QFIT's CV products if you havnt' got them already.

f
 
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