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49 hands played. won 25 lost 20. I lost majority of my bigger bets and I lost most of the double downs. I as well only went to max bet 225. but in 1 shoe still had a profit of over 1012.5. heres why this data is garbage and its because I won more hands then I lost. what the most important is losing more hands then winning but in set period of time before even raising. I as well had a few blackjacks and the dealer had some blackjacks. blackjacks are theoretically 1/21 hands
You played 49 hands. Like you said “this data is garbage…” a sample size so small is virtually useless in determining anything. I don’t even know why you posted after only playing 49 hands.
so it takes overall about 20,000 hands to have any sort of data that is relatively average of what your mathematical expectation should be if you were to card count with an advantage. so I played 1 shoe and lost -1100. I flat betted 100%. I won 14 hands and lost 33. my winning % was 28 which is below average expectation. I as well lost my double downs so that is why I was down so much money just on a short sample
this data is actually not garbage and important data and I will tell you why. blackjack is a negative expectation game. you are going to lose money in the long run. the only edge one can have is counting cards. even then edge is maybe 1-2% overall and the play differs from basic strategy. so therefore one will make no money flat betting period unless they just happen to win more hands then they lose and they as well win double downs. it could go just as much the other direction and basically will be
46hands I made a profit of 800. I started at 50. highest bet I got to was 150. I won 23 lost 21. so 50% winning which is above the expectation. I did lost most of my bigger bets but I got some double downs and I as well won my smaller ones to build up to the back and forth with the same until I got a few momentum
trial 3 $462.5 profit biggest bet was 125. won 21 lost 20 played 48hands. lost most of my double downs. had 43% accuracy. I never went back to base and was down over 2-300 at a time
trial 4 -$762.5. which is totally reasonable. my highest bet was 150. I lost most of my bigger bets. I lost the most double downs I had lost so far. I as well only had a win %37. which would mean no matter what I would have lost money on any sort of betting.
I don’t understand why people go through such clumsy and hectic mathematics and software when it comes to gambling. For me gambling is just a fun where you want to win but not earn knowing the expected loss you are willing to bear. It is sophisticated math when we talk about probability. When something is uncertain just enjoy the uncertainty. DOn’t bother with it anymore.
La mejor manera de explicarlo es esta. Johnny el Despistado dice que pida. En lugar de que el crupier le dé la siguiente carta de la baraja, el crupier le ofrece la opción de elegir cualquier carta restante de la baraja para dársela a Johnny en su lugar. ¿Acepta esa opción? La siguiente carta y la que elija realmente han estado en esa misma posición en el zapato desde la barajada. Si crees que esas dos cartas en esas dos posiciones ahora tienen una probabilidad diferente de ser un 10, entonces eso también era cierto para esas dos cartas justo después de la barajada. Todas las cartas de la baraja tienen la misma probabilidad de ser un 10 después de barajar. ¿No te fías de la baraja?
estaba jugando al black jack en el casino de sudbury. al dividir dos cartas descubiertas la maquina me permitio jugar cada carta por separado como si fueran dos manos separadas pero al dividir dos ases la maquina me dio una carta de cada as y luego jugo su mano no permitiendome jugar los ases en absoluto. es esta una practica comun.
¿QUÉ? Ni siquiera puedo entender lo que estás tratando de decir aquí.
but if you’d pay attention to what the article said, you would have heard it does affect the game how they play. it affects it both positively and negatively an equal amount on average.
I agree, I’ve found playing short rounds, betting to make up for losses and stopping after the winning streak of that session leaves me ahead every time and usual with a small decent haul of sometimes 200 to 300 dollars over the course of an hour. If i had 10’s of thousands of dollars to blow could see that small haul exponentially being impressive, but in reality with a small gambling egg and playing perfectly with all the tiny bonuses in your favor your winnings are equivalent to an hourly mediocre job through the course of a day. The biggest rule I feel that doesn’t work and I ignore but statistically has the law of probability in its favor is holding on 12 to 16 hoping the dealer breaks. Mathematically its theory is probably good on paper but in reality the dealer mostly always comes out ahead.
Each of your bets have a -0.50% expected value. Therefore you’re going to lose 0.50% of the total amount you wagered over the long run. Regardless of how you wager it.
49 hands played. won 25 lost 20. I lost majority of my bigger bets and I lost most of the double downs. I as well only went to max bet 225. but in 1 shoe still had a profit of over 1012.5. heres why this data is garbage and its because I won more hands then I lost. what the most important is losing more hands then winning but in set period of time before even raising. I as well had a few blackjacks and the dealer had some blackjacks. blackjacks are theoretically 1/21 hands
You played 49 hands. Like you said “this data is garbage…” a sample size so small is virtually useless in determining anything. I don’t even know why you posted after only playing 49 hands.
so it takes overall about 20,000 hands to have any sort of data that is relatively average of what your mathematical expectation should be if you were to card count with an advantage. so I played 1 shoe and lost -1100. I flat betted 100%. I won 14 hands and lost 33. my winning % was 28 which is below average expectation. I as well lost my double downs so that is why I was down so much money just on a short sample
this data is actually not garbage and important data and I will tell you why. blackjack is a negative expectation game. you are going to lose money in the long run. the only edge one can have is counting cards. even then edge is maybe 1-2% overall and the play differs from basic strategy. so therefore one will make no money flat betting period unless they just happen to win more hands then they lose and they as well win double downs. it could go just as much the other direction and basically will be
46hands I made a profit of 800. I started at 50. highest bet I got to was 150. I won 23 lost 21. so 50% winning which is above the expectation. I did lost most of my bigger bets but I got some double downs and I as well won my smaller ones to build up to the back and forth with the same until I got a few momentum
trial 2 made 350 and biggest bet was 150. lost most of my bigger bets but had a 44% accuracy which is around expectation
trial 3 $462.5 profit biggest bet was 125. won 21 lost 20 played 48hands. lost most of my double downs. had 43% accuracy. I never went back to base and was down over 2-300 at a time
trial 4 -$762.5. which is totally reasonable. my highest bet was 150. I lost most of my bigger bets. I lost the most double downs I had lost so far. I as well only had a win %37. which would mean no matter what I would have lost money on any sort of betting.
I won 56% of my hands 27 won and 18 lost. profit was +$1237.5. only won 1 double down out of 4. pushed on 1
Am I ready to take on the casino? The casino i’m going to be targeting cuts of 2 decks out of their 6 deck shoe instead of just 1.
I don’t understand why people go through such clumsy and hectic mathematics and software when it comes to gambling. For me gambling is just a fun where you want to win but not earn knowing the expected loss you are willing to bear. It is sophisticated math when we talk about probability. When something is uncertain just enjoy the uncertainty. DOn’t bother with it anymore.
Si el crupier tiene black jack y dice que no y el juego continúa y tú también obtienes 21, ¿cuál es el recurso?
La mejor manera de explicarlo es esta. Johnny el Despistado dice que pida. En lugar de que el crupier le dé la siguiente carta de la baraja, el crupier le ofrece la opción de elegir cualquier carta restante de la baraja para dársela a Johnny en su lugar. ¿Acepta esa opción? La siguiente carta y la que elija realmente han estado en esa misma posición en el zapato desde la barajada. Si crees que esas dos cartas en esas dos posiciones ahora tienen una probabilidad diferente de ser un 10, entonces eso también era cierto para esas dos cartas justo después de la barajada. Todas las cartas de la baraja tienen la misma probabilidad de ser un 10 después de barajar. ¿No te fías de la baraja?
estaba jugando al black jack en el casino de sudbury. al dividir dos cartas descubiertas la maquina me permitio jugar cada carta por separado como si fueran dos manos separadas pero al dividir dos ases la maquina me dio una carta de cada as y luego jugo su mano no permitiendome jugar los ases en absoluto. es esta una practica comun.
On the 8,8 hands if I can surrender am I saving or loosing money vs the 10 and the A.??
BB
On the 8,8 hands if I can surrender am I saving or loosing money vs the 10 and the A.??
BB
Nope, There is no system to win in Blackjack, except counting cards. (And even that can not guarantee a win.)
¿QUÉ? Ni siquiera puedo entender lo que estás tratando de decir aquí.
but if you’d pay attention to what the article said, you would have heard it does affect the game how they play. it affects it both positively and negatively an equal amount on average.
I agree, I’ve found playing short rounds, betting to make up for losses and stopping after the winning streak of that session leaves me ahead every time and usual with a small decent haul of sometimes 200 to 300 dollars over the course of an hour. If i had 10’s of thousands of dollars to blow could see that small haul exponentially being impressive, but in reality with a small gambling egg and playing perfectly with all the tiny bonuses in your favor your winnings are equivalent to an hourly mediocre job through the course of a day. The biggest rule I feel that doesn’t work and I ignore but statistically has the law of probability in its favor is holding on 12 to 16 hoping the dealer breaks. Mathematically its theory is probably good on paper but in reality the dealer mostly always comes out ahead.
Each of your bets have a -0.50% expected value. Therefore you’re going to lose 0.50% of the total amount you wagered over the long run. Regardless of how you wager it.