aslan said:
If I'm going to use KO, I'm not inclined to alter it according to Hi/lo expectations--I'll just play KO, which tends to be overly conservative below the pivot point (since it's designed to adjust for being unbalanced by four by using an IRC of 4 times the number of decks below the pivot point which is +4, and is where KO and True Count are identical). Does that sound all right?
I'd like to include KO guys. Red 7. Whatever. It doesn't sound like using KO yields that much different cr*p compared to Hi-Lo anyway. Just no indexes. It is what it is.
Here's what I came up with Powersim.
A 3/4 play-all heads up game with standard S17 DOA DAS, re-split to 4 hands, No surrender, no indexes, standard stuff with Aces. 1-10 spread with a $100K roll. Using Hi-Lo count. Always just play BS.
Bet $50 at TC0 or below.
Bet $175 at TC +1.
Bet $350 at TC +2.
Bet $500 at TC+3 and above.
Basically that's it. Or whatever anyone deems is the equivalent for their count. Why not Level 2 counts? - the team welcomes the extra betting correlation lol. Won't help with indexes though.
Just counting and trying to bet one of those amounts at the right count. Only 4 bet amounts. Never any other bet amount lol. No spreading. Never take insurance. No camo. Jump your bets to the count. A chance for anyone to test their counting skills while betting and see how they do. Maybe learn how to measure their results, experience what a stan dev or 2 feels like lol. A chance for all those beginners with counting skill complaining of lack of roll to bet systematically to a $100K roll and measure up.
Anybody know if Powersim floors TC? Like a TC of +1.9 is still a TC+1 bet. Full deck estimation I assume. Use half decks if you want.
Can anybody run this spread thru CV whatever? I'm getting a .7858% EV. Win rate $105 per hundred hands. SD $2300 per hundred hands. Avg bet $134/hd. 95000 hands to double bank. 475 hours to N0. ROR 1.85%
Basically a crappy game but what the heck.
Minimum reporting requirements best guess of number of dealer upcards played against (hands played) and absolute dollars won/lost. Make hashmarks on a piece of paper as you play if you want to be more accurate. Count hands of a few shoes and average if you want and keep track of number of shoes played. The more accurate the number of hands you play, the more accurate your EV and SD will be. Count splits as 2 hands if you want. I don't care.
I don't want # of hours played.
Anything else you want to add, count used, when you bet one of those amounts according to your count, great. If you use software and it gives good detail like number of hands played at each bet amount etc, great. Total wagered. If it doesn't, then I guess you're more like a real counter in a casino making his best guesses.
I'll try to do results individually and of course all results combined like I imagine a team might.
Maybe I can figure out how to put out an Excel sheet with the results anyone could download and use for their own individual results and see how how anyone who has posted has fared. Do a recap here periodically. I don't know. Jump in and learn to swim basically lol.
You think I know what I'm doing? :grin:
So the idea is u/anyone just post here whenever you want. Good results and bad results as long as you were trying to be a good little robot with your counting system. Go ahead and steam and bet $1000 hand if you want - just don't include that shoe here lol.
Something like
"Aslan, 200 hands, lost $35000".
Then, as Trump would say, "You're fired" lmao.
I'm just hoping the team doesn't end up with the luck of 10 Wise Frogs
Comments? Suggestions? Questions? Dumb idea - just bag it? That's OK too lol.
And, to The Wise One, no I wasn't a good little robot lol. I couldn't win a big bet if my life depended on it, or so it seemed lol. Or maybe I was a perfect robot, just a really unlucky one - the Eternal Question lol.
