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Quote: “So, here’s the betting schedule I worked out for a $3000 bankroll. Bear in mind that as the bankroll increases (or decreases), the schedule must be changed in order to keep the risk of ‘gambler’s ruin’ about the same. I will modify the schedule at $1000 increments; that is, if I win $1000, I’ll refigure the betting schedule by remultiplying all the percentages by $4000. On the other hand, if I choose to spend my profits, I’ll just continue to operate with the original schedule. In the unlikely event that I hit a big losing streak (how’s that for positive thinking?) I really couldn’t downsize the bets very much. As long as the bank remains above $2000, I’ll stick with this schedule. If it should go below $2000, I’d quit until I could build the bank up again.”
The realities of this confuse me. Bankrolling 3000 but only exposing 1000 in reality, does strange things to my mind when calculating willful bets, unless this is blatantly stated to be “And then I will go elsewhere and re-win myself to 3000 using my remaining bankroll”
Am I correct in assuming this is the modus operandi?
I bid him and his family the best. In just a few weeks he (and you by extension and also direct insights as well, carrying on his information to late-comers like myself) brought me from thinking “This seems statistically calculable” (as well as ouch, my spending money!) to “Should I stop at double stake tonight or not”
Just got back from Ceasers Palance. Tested my suspicions again.
1) New Deck
2) Deck Spread out
3) Deck placed in shoe and never shuffled in front of me
4) EMPTY TABLE – I was the only player at the table
IMMEDIATLY LOST 7 HANDS IN A ROW STRAIGHT !!!! Per this website – odds of this are 1.1% or 1 in 90 !!!!!
My suspicion has again been confirmed. However I have NO EVIDENCE other than circumstance. So I need to know if anyone else has experienced this.
I’m wondering if the casinos are setting up the new decks in a mathmatically predetermined way which give the dealer an edge if they are not shuffled good enough.
Anyone comment on this? I don’t want to hear oh your an idiot. ALLOT of math research goes into Casinos and they have BILLIONS at thier disposal – basically infinate money to see if there is a way to get a new deck in a preset way that mathmatically give them a huge edge.
IF you have the time and money to test this – give it a try on 5 sessions and see if 3-4 lose money. AGAIN this is how you do it:
1) Empty Table – Table must be EMPTY
2) Cards spread out on table
3) New Deck (if the cards are spread out on the table it means IT IS A NEW DECK)
4) YOU NEVER SEE DEALER SHUFFLE THE CARDS. THEY SIMPLY PUT THE CARDS IN THE SHOE AND START DEALING.
Follow these steps as an experiment (if you have the time, money and are interested) and record your results. Most of you probably won’t do this but if I’m wrong – you have no reason not to.
I am suspicious because the odds of this happening WITH the same environmental variables I just listed must be very, very low.
I am wondering, if the casinos are engaged in a legal conspiracy to “legally defruad” players based on the above.
If I’m the only one – fine. However I’ve been talking to other people and they have noticed the same thing.
Again – I’m not willing to say anything for sure – at this point is an ongoing experiment. I’m going to go to other casinos and try this AGAIN and record my results under the same conditions.
The trainer just bugged on me. I just split tens for the second time and received a 7 on my first one and a A on my second one and now it’s not letting me stand. It’s only letting me double SO NOW i HAVE to double my soft 21 or close the game 🙁
Y cuando el jugador coge una carta que no se ha pasado, aumentan las probabilidades de que el crupier se pase. Al final, todo se equilibra. Si esto no tiene sentido para usted, le sugiero que haga un curso de probabilidad y estadística para que pueda comprender mejor cómo funcionan los juegos de azar.
I wish my dum as wouldve ask and learn alil more about the game before wasting 3,000 up there cause how u bet against the dealer hand and lose then somebody elae step in and win all kinda ways…
El Cortez still does single-deck 3:2 DA split 4x, no DAS and no resplit aces (ouch, but only hurt me one time). Just play a good cover game and banter. People talk about being run down there like dogs and refer to it as The Sweaty Spaniard, but I went out 200 up and 300 up on consecutive days with ABSOLUTELY WILD spreads (I mean, red chipping until making 75 or 150 drops) and because every now and then I split 10s like a lunatic, I never got anything more than a “Good luck! :D” from the dealer or pitbulls. I even brought a Basic Strategy sheet on full 8.5×11 which not only helps me with my play (counting for me is far easier than memorizing BStrat) but also helps my cover. Swallow the pride, show some emotion and there’s money to be made, by my reckoning.
I am genuinely new to all of this however, so my words may be taken with not a grain of, but an entire salt mine.
Y en el caso de que el jugador saque una de las pocas cartas pequeñas, la probabilidad de que la banca se pase aumenta, ¿verdad? El efecto de los dos resultados se compensa completamente, y el resultado neto es un cambio cero en el porcentaje de posibilidades de que la banca se pase.
Usted pregunta si se le escapa algo. Sí, sigue pensando. Las acciones del tercera base no importan. Punto.
No, la opción no es qué carta quieres que coja. La opción es que no tome ninguna carta. Porque en una baraja neutral hay más cartas que romperían un 16 que cartas que lo harían. Por lo tanto, es más probable que la siguiente carta, independientemente de dónde la coja del mazo, sea una carta descubierta. Si el jugador coge esa carta, las probabilidades de que el crupier se pase bajan.
Quote: “So, here’s the betting schedule I worked out for a $3000 bankroll. Bear in mind that as the bankroll increases (or decreases), the schedule must be changed in order to keep the risk of ‘gambler’s ruin’ about the same. I will modify the schedule at $1000 increments; that is, if I win $1000, I’ll refigure the betting schedule by remultiplying all the percentages by $4000. On the other hand, if I choose to spend my profits, I’ll just continue to operate with the original schedule. In the unlikely event that I hit a big losing streak (how’s that for positive thinking?) I really couldn’t downsize the bets very much. As long as the bank remains above $2000, I’ll stick with this schedule. If it should go below $2000, I’d quit until I could build the bank up again.”
The realities of this confuse me. Bankrolling 3000 but only exposing 1000 in reality, does strange things to my mind when calculating willful bets, unless this is blatantly stated to be “And then I will go elsewhere and re-win myself to 3000 using my remaining bankroll”
Am I correct in assuming this is the modus operandi?
I bid him and his family the best. In just a few weeks he (and you by extension and also direct insights as well, carrying on his information to late-comers like myself) brought me from thinking “This seems statistically calculable” (as well as ouch, my spending money!) to “Should I stop at double stake tonight or not”
Thank you Bill, and thank you Ken.
Just got back from Ceasers Palance. Tested my suspicions again.
1) New Deck
2) Deck Spread out
3) Deck placed in shoe and never shuffled in front of me
4) EMPTY TABLE – I was the only player at the table
IMMEDIATLY LOST 7 HANDS IN A ROW STRAIGHT !!!! Per this website – odds of this are 1.1% or 1 in 90 !!!!!
My suspicion has again been confirmed. However I have NO EVIDENCE other than circumstance. So I need to know if anyone else has experienced this.
I’m wondering if the casinos are setting up the new decks in a mathmatically predetermined way which give the dealer an edge if they are not shuffled good enough.
Anyone comment on this? I don’t want to hear oh your an idiot. ALLOT of math research goes into Casinos and they have BILLIONS at thier disposal – basically infinate money to see if there is a way to get a new deck in a preset way that mathmatically give them a huge edge.
IF you have the time and money to test this – give it a try on 5 sessions and see if 3-4 lose money. AGAIN this is how you do it:
1) Empty Table – Table must be EMPTY
2) Cards spread out on table
3) New Deck (if the cards are spread out on the table it means IT IS A NEW DECK)
4) YOU NEVER SEE DEALER SHUFFLE THE CARDS. THEY SIMPLY PUT THE CARDS IN THE SHOE AND START DEALING.
Follow these steps as an experiment (if you have the time, money and are interested) and record your results. Most of you probably won’t do this but if I’m wrong – you have no reason not to.
I am suspicious because the odds of this happening WITH the same environmental variables I just listed must be very, very low.
I am wondering, if the casinos are engaged in a legal conspiracy to “legally defruad” players based on the above.
If I’m the only one – fine. However I’ve been talking to other people and they have noticed the same thing.
Again – I’m not willing to say anything for sure – at this point is an ongoing experiment. I’m going to go to other casinos and try this AGAIN and record my results under the same conditions.
The word of the option can be bigger, The amount of bet can be bigger. is there a quick bet of 100 200 400 800 . Can the maximun bet to 2000. THANKS
The trainer just bugged on me. I just split tens for the second time and received a 7 on my first one and a A on my second one and now it’s not letting me stand. It’s only letting me double SO NOW i HAVE to double my soft 21 or close the game 🙁
Si un jugador decide plantarse con 15 por el motivo que sea y el crupier tiene 16, ¿debe el crupier seguir sacando otra carta ya que es menor que 17?
Sí
I understand that this is a prectice mode of blackjack,. but if you split 10s, you really don’t understand the game. You play how you practice.
It’s called a basic strategy deviation.
The true count hit the index point to make the basic strategy deviation.
¿es legal contar cartas?
eso es porque se referían a cuántas manos posibles de black jack no a jotas "negras".
Good question. The casino I frequent does the same.
Y cuando el jugador coge una carta que no se ha pasado, aumentan las probabilidades de que el crupier se pase. Al final, todo se equilibra. Si esto no tiene sentido para usted, le sugiero que haga un curso de probabilidad y estadística para que pueda comprender mejor cómo funcionan los juegos de azar.
I wish my dum as wouldve ask and learn alil more about the game before wasting 3,000 up there cause how u bet against the dealer hand and lose then somebody elae step in and win all kinda ways…
El Cortez still does single-deck 3:2 DA split 4x, no DAS and no resplit aces (ouch, but only hurt me one time). Just play a good cover game and banter. People talk about being run down there like dogs and refer to it as The Sweaty Spaniard, but I went out 200 up and 300 up on consecutive days with ABSOLUTELY WILD spreads (I mean, red chipping until making 75 or 150 drops) and because every now and then I split 10s like a lunatic, I never got anything more than a “Good luck! :D” from the dealer or pitbulls. I even brought a Basic Strategy sheet on full 8.5×11 which not only helps me with my play (counting for me is far easier than memorizing BStrat) but also helps my cover. Swallow the pride, show some emotion and there’s money to be made, by my reckoning.
I am genuinely new to all of this however, so my words may be taken with not a grain of, but an entire salt mine.
I guess math wasn’t your best subject in school.
I am a dealer on a strip casino and of you have a blackjack or …soft 11….and the dealer has a 5 or 6 showing you ALWAYS DOUBLE DOWN
Y en el caso de que el jugador saque una de las pocas cartas pequeñas, la probabilidad de que la banca se pase aumenta, ¿verdad? El efecto de los dos resultados se compensa completamente, y el resultado neto es un cambio cero en el porcentaje de posibilidades de que la banca se pase.
Usted pregunta si se le escapa algo. Sí, sigue pensando. Las acciones del tercera base no importan. Punto.
No, la opción no es qué carta quieres que coja. La opción es que no tome ninguna carta. Porque en una baraja neutral hay más cartas que romperían un 16 que cartas que lo harían. Por lo tanto, es más probable que la siguiente carta, independientemente de dónde la coja del mazo, sea una carta descubierta. Si el jugador coge esa carta, las probabilidades de que el crupier se pase bajan.