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is it obvious to see how many times the casino shuffles their deck? i remember they get it from like a little shoot or something. would it shuffle in there or would they take out every deck and than shuffle. how would you know if they shuffle after each hand or when the decks are done?
Bonjour,
I have question,
I am lucky (or not ?!) to find a casino where I can surrender in a way that I cannot see either Early or Late type, it seems something in between:
– European style, there is no peek
– I cannot surrender when dealer has ace, but I can surrender when he has any 10s, anytime
– I can surrender after split or double-down.
– The cards are shuffled by CSM, so counting cards is impossible.
And most importantly, when I play with minimum bet of 5$, if I surrender, they give me 3$ since they do not have half a dollar chips. That adds up nicely to my bank
So in these conditions how should I use basic strategy and how much is house’s edge approximately?
None of my current code supports surrender after split or double, so an accurate answer is elusive.
You could use the free combinatorial analyzer here to look at some of these questions, but not all.
And you could use it to decide which $5 hands you should surrender. Since you only lose $2 by surrendering (0.4%) of your bet, you can look at the best EV for the other strategies. If it’s worse than -0.4, you should surrender instead.
I’ve been trying to google this and cant find any forums or info regarding the matter, so here goes:
In a true count of +6 (or something of that significance), is it ever correct to stand on a 12, 13 or 14 against a 10?
Knowing that the probability of the next card being a 10 and more often busting than improving you, should you stand and pray the dealer has 6 or less and take that 10? Or do you always hit since too many cards improve you (and refer to basic strategy)?
Short answer: Just always hit 12, 13, and 14 vs Ten.
Longer answer:
For 12vT and 13vT, the count basically never gets high enough to stand.
With 14vT, the appropriate Hi-Lo index would be very high. I know it is more than +10 true count, because I ran very in-depth data for the range of -10 to +10, and 14vT was still “always hit”.
Wong’s Professional Blackjack book shows “Always Hit” for 14vT with the Hi-Lo count, but for his Halves count, he gives an index of +10.
This is likely because the Halves count includes sevens, which are quite important for that specific hand.
If I recall on what I’ve read so far (new to this), in high true counts (let’s say 6+), then for hands 15 and up, you should always stand correct? Like a +1 and you should stand on 16 vs 10, at what count would I have to stand on a 15?
16vT: Stand at 0 or higher.
15vT: Stand at +4 or higher.
My Advanced cards have very precise indexes for 6 different sets of rules.
For a free version of the most important numbers, check the FAQ post about the “Illustrious 18“, a list of the 18 most important indexes.
J'ai acheté vos cartes de stratégie avancée pour le BJ. J'ai vu plusieurs personnes apporter une version du casino en tant qu'antisèche "autorisée" pour jouer la stratégie de base aux tables. J'ai même eu une discussion "amusante" avec quelqu'un qui disait que j'avais joué une décision de base de manière incorrecte en me basant sur sa carte. Je lui ai dit que ce n'était pas le cas et qu'il devrait vérifier à nouveau. Il l'a sorti et "voilà" que j'avais raison........LOL Incroyable de voir à quel point A-7 est déroutant pour beaucoup, n'est-ce pas ?
En tout état de cause, c'est un moyen détourné d'utiliser vos cartes avancées (mode furtif) dans les casinos. Je les ai ; j'ai été tenté de les utiliser aux tables mais j'ai l'impression de me dégonfler au moment de les sortir pour les utiliser. J'ai mémorisé à peu près Illustrious 18. Avez-vous déjà reçu des commentaires de joueurs à ce sujet ? Je veux jouer "bête" mais pas TELLEMENT bête aux tables. Je ne voudrais pas qu'on me confisque ma carte...........haha. Mais cela me préoccupe si un chef de table me demande ma carte et que je doive la lui montrer. Vos suggestions ?
Vous m'avez demandé si les joueurs m'avaient fait part de leurs réactions à ce sujet, et en fait, ce n'est pas le cas. Il faut que je commence à poser des questions et que je voie ce que les joueurs en pensent.
Cela dépendra probablement beaucoup de l'endroit où vous jouez. Il y a des endroits où je joue où je n'envisagerais pas de sortir une carte, et pourtant il y a d'autres fosses où je me sentirais tout à fait à l'aise.
Comme vous avez mémorisé les 18 Illustres, vous obtenez déjà 80-90% de la valeur sans avoir la carte en main. Vous avez probablement aussi développé une certaine sensibilité pour les décisions qui ne font pas partie des 18, mais qui sont marginales. En gardant cela à l'esprit, vous ne trouverez peut-être qu'une ou deux mains par heure où vous voudrez regarder la carte.
Je comprends tout à fait ce dilemme, et je serais ravie d'entendre vos réflexions après coup si vous l'utilisez.
Même si la fosse regarde la carte, il y a de fortes chances qu'elle ne remarque pas les points. Dans le pire des cas, si je me trouvais confronté à une personne de la fosse qui me demande ce qu'il en est des points, je lui dirais que les points m'indiquent les mains qu'il est prudent de jouer sur une intuition si je ne veux pas suivre le conseil. C'est juste assez bizarre pour fonctionner, et il y a un peu de vérité derrière.
Is it more favourable to surrender than to hit 16 vs 10 at -1? I’m sure this info is on here somewhere, but I haven’t found it.
Thanks for the site and info
B
With 16vT, when surrender is available, surrender if the true count is -4 or higher, else hit.
When surrender is not available, stand at true count 0 or higher, else hit.
I have a relatively small bankroll and comps and match plays really make a huge impact on my future game (have not frequented many times yet), but wanted to clarify some thoughts. In a hypothetical situation, if I was to be receiving a $100 match-play bonus, is my EV out of that around $97 (assuming I play it at a house disadvantage) or is it around $47 for player (since house has a 3% edge making it around $53 for the house). Sorry if this seems silly, but I just wanted to make sure about the math before I dive into this.
Regardless, would this match play make a red chipper who spreads $10-100 (max bet) at a very high advantage or is negligible towards the hourly / bottom line? I assume even at a $47 free-roll, that has to impact a $10 min when max is $100.
I like it like it is. If you add the flashcard type version I hope you would make it an option like choosing how many decks, etc. If it were permanent I think I would think less before hitting, standing, or doubling down.
I assume you mean you would like a feature (optional of course) that shows you the correct play before you make the decision.
The trainer already corrects you on mistakes, but I can see how some people may like an option to just see the best play beforehand. Sort of like learning with flashcards. Sounds reasonable for the new version.
Almost all online blackjack games shuffle after every hand, making card counting useless.
You can make money playing online, but the value comes from bonuses and promotions. There’s no way to beat the games straight up.
I’m a fan. Keep it up guys!
http://www.amazon.com/Go-Big-Broke-Six-Figures-Blackjack-ebook/dp/B00PYUS21U/ref=sr_1_38?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1424483555&sr=1-38&keywords=blackjack
is it obvious to see how many times the casino shuffles their deck? i remember they get it from like a little shoot or something. would it shuffle in there or would they take out every deck and than shuffle. how would you know if they shuffle after each hand or when the decks are done?
I assume you mean at online casinos. You often can’t tell anything visually about shuffling. You need to look at the rule details instead.
Bonjour,
I have question,
I am lucky (or not ?!) to find a casino where I can surrender in a way that I cannot see either Early or Late type, it seems something in between:
– European style, there is no peek
– I cannot surrender when dealer has ace, but I can surrender when he has any 10s, anytime
– I can surrender after split or double-down.
– The cards are shuffled by CSM, so counting cards is impossible.
And most importantly, when I play with minimum bet of 5$, if I surrender, they give me 3$ since they do not have half a dollar chips. That adds up nicely to my bank
So in these conditions how should I use basic strategy and how much is house’s edge approximately?
None of my current code supports surrender after split or double, so an accurate answer is elusive.
You could use the free combinatorial analyzer here to look at some of these questions, but not all.
And you could use it to decide which $5 hands you should surrender. Since you only lose $2 by surrendering (0.4%) of your bet, you can look at the best EV for the other strategies. If it’s worse than -0.4, you should surrender instead.
Bonjour,
I’ve been trying to google this and cant find any forums or info regarding the matter, so here goes:
In a true count of +6 (or something of that significance), is it ever correct to stand on a 12, 13 or 14 against a 10?
Knowing that the probability of the next card being a 10 and more often busting than improving you, should you stand and pray the dealer has 6 or less and take that 10? Or do you always hit since too many cards improve you (and refer to basic strategy)?
Remerciements
Short answer: Just always hit 12, 13, and 14 vs Ten.
Longer answer:
For 12vT and 13vT, the count basically never gets high enough to stand.
With 14vT, the appropriate Hi-Lo index would be very high. I know it is more than +10 true count, because I ran very in-depth data for the range of -10 to +10, and 14vT was still “always hit”.
Wong’s Professional Blackjack book shows “Always Hit” for 14vT with the Hi-Lo count, but for his Halves count, he gives an index of +10.
This is likely because the Halves count includes sevens, which are quite important for that specific hand.
@Ken Smith:
Hello and thanks,
If I recall on what I’ve read so far (new to this), in high true counts (let’s say 6+), then for hands 15 and up, you should always stand correct? Like a +1 and you should stand on 16 vs 10, at what count would I have to stand on a 15?
Thanks again
16vT: Stand at 0 or higher.
15vT: Stand at +4 or higher.
My Advanced cards have very precise indexes for 6 different sets of rules.
For a free version of the most important numbers, check the FAQ post about the “Illustrious 18“, a list of the 18 most important indexes.
J'ai acheté vos cartes de stratégie avancée pour le BJ. J'ai vu plusieurs personnes apporter une version du casino en tant qu'antisèche "autorisée" pour jouer la stratégie de base aux tables. J'ai même eu une discussion "amusante" avec quelqu'un qui disait que j'avais joué une décision de base de manière incorrecte en me basant sur sa carte. Je lui ai dit que ce n'était pas le cas et qu'il devrait vérifier à nouveau. Il l'a sorti et "voilà" que j'avais raison........LOL Incroyable de voir à quel point A-7 est déroutant pour beaucoup, n'est-ce pas ?
En tout état de cause, c'est un moyen détourné d'utiliser vos cartes avancées (mode furtif) dans les casinos. Je les ai ; j'ai été tenté de les utiliser aux tables mais j'ai l'impression de me dégonfler au moment de les sortir pour les utiliser. J'ai mémorisé à peu près Illustrious 18. Avez-vous déjà reçu des commentaires de joueurs à ce sujet ? Je veux jouer "bête" mais pas TELLEMENT bête aux tables. Je ne voudrais pas qu'on me confisque ma carte...........haha. Mais cela me préoccupe si un chef de table me demande ma carte et que je doive la lui montrer. Vos suggestions ?
Vous m'avez demandé si les joueurs m'avaient fait part de leurs réactions à ce sujet, et en fait, ce n'est pas le cas. Il faut que je commence à poser des questions et que je voie ce que les joueurs en pensent.
Cela dépendra probablement beaucoup de l'endroit où vous jouez. Il y a des endroits où je joue où je n'envisagerais pas de sortir une carte, et pourtant il y a d'autres fosses où je me sentirais tout à fait à l'aise.
Comme vous avez mémorisé les 18 Illustres, vous obtenez déjà 80-90% de la valeur sans avoir la carte en main. Vous avez probablement aussi développé une certaine sensibilité pour les décisions qui ne font pas partie des 18, mais qui sont marginales. En gardant cela à l'esprit, vous ne trouverez peut-être qu'une ou deux mains par heure où vous voudrez regarder la carte.
Je comprends tout à fait ce dilemme, et je serais ravie d'entendre vos réflexions après coup si vous l'utilisez.
Même si la fosse regarde la carte, il y a de fortes chances qu'elle ne remarque pas les points. Dans le pire des cas, si je me trouvais confronté à une personne de la fosse qui me demande ce qu'il en est des points, je lui dirais que les points m'indiquent les mains qu'il est prudent de jouer sur une intuition si je ne veux pas suivre le conseil. C'est juste assez bizarre pour fonctionner, et il y a un peu de vérité derrière.
Is it more favourable to surrender than to hit 16 vs 10 at -1? I’m sure this info is on here somewhere, but I haven’t found it.
Thanks for the site and info
B
With 16vT, when surrender is available, surrender if the true count is -4 or higher, else hit.
When surrender is not available, stand at true count 0 or higher, else hit.
Hello thanks for previous answers, new question!
I have a relatively small bankroll and comps and match plays really make a huge impact on my future game (have not frequented many times yet), but wanted to clarify some thoughts. In a hypothetical situation, if I was to be receiving a $100 match-play bonus, is my EV out of that around $97 (assuming I play it at a house disadvantage) or is it around $47 for player (since house has a 3% edge making it around $53 for the house). Sorry if this seems silly, but I just wanted to make sure about the math before I dive into this.
Regardless, would this match play make a red chipper who spreads $10-100 (max bet) at a very high advantage or is negligible towards the hourly / bottom line? I assume even at a $47 free-roll, that has to impact a $10 min when max is $100.
thoughts are appreciated
Josh
I like it like it is. If you add the flashcard type version I hope you would make it an option like choosing how many decks, etc. If it were permanent I think I would think less before hitting, standing, or doubling down.
for real. thats makes sense!
No firm timeframe yet for the new version, but I know it is months away still. I’m hoping to have something by this summer.
I assume you mean you would like a feature (optional of course) that shows you the correct play before you make the decision.
The trainer already corrects you on mistakes, but I can see how some people may like an option to just see the best play beforehand. Sort of like learning with flashcards. Sounds reasonable for the new version.
Almost all online blackjack games shuffle after every hand, making card counting useless.
You can make money playing online, but the value comes from bonuses and promotions. There’s no way to beat the games straight up.
what about when playing online such as bet365.com